Thread by @davealvord164

@drawandstrike @ThomasWictor 1/
When first heard @ThomasWictor theory Democrats were trying a last gasp effort with "Muh Race" for 2018 Mid-Terms
.
.
I laughed.

However, dems actions in the past 2 months
have dramatically shown a desperation

I have a theory why:

I think Trump/GOP are getting 20% w/Blacks

@drawandstrike @ThomasWictor 2/
Only Voter Guys I know

@Peoples_Pundit
@LarrySchweikart
@SHEPMJS

who have been tracking for the past year
is that quietly, Trump/GOP has been polling

Blacks- 10-25%
Hispanics- 30-55%

for nearly a year now.
That B-29% you saw a few weeks ago was not a fluke.

@drawandstrike @ThomasWictor @Peoples_Pundit @LarrySchweikart @SHEPMJS 3/
I think Trump/GOP w/ Blacks is ALOT closer to 20%.....then 10%

Ignore Polls.
Look at the Democrats desperation on Race and Violence Today.
#UniteTheRight2 was a Hail-Mary

and Literally 20x guys showed up

@drawandstrike @ThomasWictor @Peoples_Pundit @LarrySchweikart @SHEPMJS 4/
"Dave, 20% w/ Blacks sucks."

No, 20% Black means alot of Blue Seats go red fast,
especially at the Senate and Governor levels

No GOP has gotten above 15% since
1960-Nixon (32%) or 1956-Eisenhower (39%)

15% is Ebola
20% is the Black Plague

@drawandstrike @ThomasWictor @Peoples_Pundit @LarrySchweikart @SHEPMJS 5/
"How is 15-20% in 2018.....different from 1998 ?"

Because Democrats went all on Minorities,

Democrats lose White Vote by a 56-39%
(still 70-75% of population/electorate)

So if the Dems don't get 90% Blacks....they are screwed

@drawandstrike @ThomasWictor @Peoples_Pundit @LarrySchweikart @SHEPMJS 6/
Follow @LarrySchweikart
he's that good

His 1st theory below is solid.

His 2nd theory is a bit more edgy.
For many Black Voters....voting GOP is a 2-step process.

Step 1- don't vote period - or maybe 3rd party
Step 2- vote GOP

@drawandstrike @ThomasWictor @Peoples_Pundit @LarrySchweikart @SHEPMJS 7/
One of the stories that @LarrySchweikart caught.....and media ignore
is ALOT of Blacks sat out 2016

% of Blacks who voted in election
2012- 66.2
2016- 59.6

that 7-point drop sounds awful....
but as late 2004 (57%) and 2000 (56%)- it was much, MUCH worse

@drawandstrike @ThomasWictor @Peoples_Pundit @LarrySchweikart @SHEPMJS 8/
My theory is 2-fold

#1-Trump is a Black President

Trump has been in NYC/Rap Culture for 40 years
He only cares about Green- not B/H/W

Trump is in so many rap songs, it would blow your mind

Him getting B-8% is a shock in 2016
13% with Black Men shouldn't be (B-women-4%)

@drawandstrike @ThomasWictor @Peoples_Pundit @LarrySchweikart @SHEPMJS 9/
My theory is 2-fold

#2- Trump is presenting a POSITIVE OPTION for Blacks

Watch for Trump to goto into the Bluest or Bluest areas,
and sell Blacks/Hispanics

"Give me/GOP a shot.
We choose you.
We are choosing Black and Hispanic Americans over Illegal Mexicans. "

@drawandstrike @ThomasWictor @Peoples_Pundit @LarrySchweikart @SHEPMJS 10/10
Two-months ago, somebody in DNC saw some internal pols that showed GOP/Trump crushing it with B/H Voters

Trump only cares about American People and Money. Period.
Pelosi literally FIGHTS for Illegals.
B/H Voters ARE NOT STUPID.

Nov 6th, 2018
84 days