I’m not certain exit costs from blockchains are low.
To explain we need to define two types of exits:
1. Individual user exit 2. Group exit by forking
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2/ In individual exit, costs are lower but not necessarily “low”.
There needs to be another option. And that option needs to hold enough of the fundamental properties that you value to exit.
And what about network effects?
3/ In a potential future where an SC protocol like #Ethereum hosts 1000s of apps, exiting may mean exiting the entire ecosystem.
Interoperability b/w chains may lower this cost and the cost is lower still for non-SC “currency only” chains, but the cost is not necessarily “low”.
4/ For group exit, while forking is an option...
- The technical skill to fork and maintain the fork is high
- Trust, security (eg hashrate or stake/market cap), and network effects including real-world integration points are not easily carried over
5/ For a SC chain, forking means convincing some or all of the ecosystem to join or provide support for your fork!
The cost of forking is extremely high as it risks fragmenting network effects.
6/ The above applies to base layer protocols only.
The costs of individual exit or forking of dapps is even lower and I suspect we’ll see plenty of hostile takeovers at that layer.
Finally, I agree that on-chain gov will probably prove inferior but it’s too early to say!
7/ To add context:
For individual exits, I’m referring to a scenario where an individual holds a reasonable proportion of their net worth in the underlying protocol—not a scenario where they are simply interacting with the app layer. Exit costs will be much lower there.
8/ Something as simple as taxes may prohibit exit beyond network effects etc.
But I could be totally wrong on this. In 10 years we may live in a world of seamless chain/asset interoperability where entry and exit is fluid (and not taxed!).
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1/ Hey #CryptoTwitter, grab a glass of vino and come sit by the fire so we can discuss your narrow-minded views on FAT PROTOCOL THEORY.
See what I did there -- how I juxtaposed "narrow" with "fat"?
No?
Just shut up and drink your wine. 👇
2/ First, let's acknowledge it as a "theory" even though it wasn't clearly labelled as such.
A theory is just a plausible principle offered to explain phenomena.
3/ In Joel's case -- @jmonegro penned the original theory -- he was observing the phenomena that #Bitcoin and #Ethereum both had market caps that far exceeded the value of applications built on top of either protocol.
- #Ethereum code school CryptoZombies trained 208k+ users and is growing by 30k+/mo
- Truffle has 580k dls, up 56% last 3 mo
- MetaMask has >1m users
- GitHub lists 14k $ETH-based repos and 220k commits
- 1500+ dapps are in dev
/1
- ETH does more tx and active addresses than BTC
- No, batching doesn't make up the dif in tx
- Of the top 100 tokens by MC, 94% are built on Ethereum
- EEA boasts 500+ members
- Brazil, Canada, Zug, Chile, Dubai, and Estonia are experimenting w/ government apps on Ethereum
/2
On the topic of daily act addr (DAA):
Value transfer is a use case and those *transacting value daily* are DAUs you morons.
Fundraising with $ETH = MOE.
By DAA, Ethereum has as many or more users than BTC.
- Crypto has rekindled the debate about whether advances in IT can render central banks obsolete
- Author: "To fend off potential competitive pressure from crypto assets, central banks must continue to carry out effective monetary policies"
Whaaat!?
3/ Current state:
- For now, crypto assets are too volatile and risky to pose a threat to fiat
- And they do not enjoy the same degree of trust that citizens have in fiat
- However, continued innovation and longer track records may reduce volatility and boost adoption
1. Most usage for all crypto today is value tx due to speculation. Same for $BTC as for $ETH. 2. Value tx is a use case! Expecting early SC platforms w/out mature dapps to have dapp users is like asking why LN isn't being used yet for payments?
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3. On-chain tx vol has dropped likely b/c of chilled ICO environment (+ market crash). Can't ignore the broader market contexts. 4. "Next few months" are likely meaningless in terms of competition. New chains need to launch, attract devs, launch apps, etc. Next 12+ months maybe?
5. Indeed, capital raise as a use case will see swifter competition but network effects, security, trust, token standardization, liquidity (fiat pairs) are still barriers that may not be easily overcome.
I. No lying. No user of this blockchain shall make knowingly false or misleading statements, nor statements that constitute discrimination or harassment, nor profit thereby.
If you lie about your age anywhere ever you will be in violation.