1/ The materials will be determinative for Cohen in deciding what he will have to proffer, and will be useful for Mueller in assessing what kind of plea agreement might be involved in getting Cohen to flip.
2/ Note that the AP article mentions only the business dealings. This is misleading almost to the point of being fake news.
3/ Prosecutors are required to turn over to other investigators anything that appears to be materially relevant to THEIR investigations. So Mueller will get anything materially relevant to his Russia investigations. #mueller#michaelcohen
4/ According to Steele, Cohen and Manafort were the two central players in the Trump Russia collusion. So unless Steele got this completely wrong (most unlikely) there will be evidence for MUELLER in the raid materials. #mueller#michaelcohen
5/ Note, however, that the raid materials will be useful to Mueller in flipping Cohen on Russia even in the VERY unlikely event that there is only incriminating stuff in there about Cohen’s BUSINESS dealings.
6/ On Cohen and the Russian probe, see the remarks by Cohen’s friend Donny Deustsch on June 21. tinyurl.com/ybw278pu
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I posted this to Twitter a long time ago. It’s from Yuri Felshtinsky and Vladimir Pribylovsky, The Corporation: Russia and the KGB in the Age of President Putin. Encounter Books. 2008, pp. 40-41 (not available online):
(THREAD) Collins votes YES, so Kavanaugh’s confirmed.
This is the finale of the confirmation VOTE, but it is NOT the end of the #Kavanaugh ISSUE. 1/14
The FBI “investigation” was a sham, and that makes Collins’ special pleading for her YES vote a sham. It was a sickening performance. 2/14
The fatal weakness of her defense of her vote is that there was no meaningful investigation. Merely seeking corroboration in the form of direct, eyewitness testimony from the participants of the 1 Jul 1982 meeting does not constitute a meaningful investigation. 3/14
A subjective impression, admittedly, but in the pics and videos I have seen, Senate Rs look grim and worried--even, on occasion, angry.
D claim that this was a cover-up (20+ witnesses not called) is getting traction. No adequate push back from Rs yet.
McConnell saying on the floor that the Senate must vote to confirm b/c “in this country you’re not guilty until proven innocent” has this whole matter so wrong (it’s a job interview, Mitch, not a trial) that he must be feeling a little desperate.
(THREAD) The predicted early conclusion of the FBI background check on #Kavanaugh that has been reported by Politico and the WSJ is surprising and cause for anxiety and concern, but let’s look try hard to look on the (possibly) bright side. 1/8
We must keep in mind that this investigation is essentially a background check on #Kavanaugh, in light of newly surfaced allegations of belligerent drunkenness and sexual violence alleged against him by Ford and others. 2/8
So this investigation is more about Kavanaugh and his nomination than it is about Ford or any other accusers, and while the FBI does not reach conclusions, it does uncovers facts, and presents those facts to others so they can better reach their own conclusions. 3/8