The Hoarse Whisperer Profile picture
Jun 27, 2018 9 tweets 3 min read Read on X
So, something pretty remarkable is going down in the #NY14 primary.

A massive underdog who was largely written off as certain to lose even a few months ago, @Ocasio2018, appears poised to not just pull of it but stomp her opponent by 12+ points.

There's more though.

1/
Ocasio-Cortez's opponent, Joe Crowley, was among the most powerful House Dems and was thought to be a potential replacement to Nancy Pelosi.

He out-raised Ocasio-Cortez to the tune of $1.5 million to about $50k.

He won his last election by about 60 points.

2/
Crowley was endorsed by Planned Parenthood, NARAL, a million unions and Dem leaders.

Ocasio-Cortez was endorsed by... the Dem Socialists and that's about it.

3/
Ocasio-Cortez is now highly likely to win the seat in November. It's a +29 district. It should be a laugher.

This is rather seismic as primary upsets go.

The hot takes will probably underplay demographic shifts in the district and overplay the new blood/change movement.

4/
...but make no mistake about it: Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez ran an energized campaign and slayed a Goliath.

She's an exciting, young addition to the national convo and very much a representative for her soon-to-be-district.

You can read about her here.

5/
nymag.com/daily/intellig…
An irony here: NY Dems hold federal and state primaries on different dates.

The turnout tonight was pure in a way. It was people who wanted to vote in this House race. Ocasio-Cortez turned them out.

6/
Had it been nearly any other state, Crowley probably would have rode the straight ticket wave.

Ironically, the far left was grousing about these split primaries just yesterday... and then tonight they likely enabled Ocasio-Cortez to win.

7/
States usually gang up federal and state primaries to save money.

Maybe splitting out smaller races produces more competitive races and gives challengers more room to compete and win...

8/
Congrats to Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez.

She ran one heck of a race, knocked off a formidable opponent and proved a whole lotta people wrong - including me. Got this one dead wrong.

Must be one hell of a party going on at @Ocasio2018 HQ.

The one in Nov will be even better.
<end>

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More from @TheRealHoarse

Oct 5, 2018
Ok, hear me out here for a second.

We have a weekly tradition on my timeline.

Every Friday, I ask people for one good thing that happened in their lives that week.

I’m sure none of us feel much like doing that today...

1/
However, this tradition matters to me.

It goes back a lot further than my Twitter tenure.

I went through some serious sh** a few years back when everything in my life burned down.

One of the things that got me through it was always looking for at least SOMETHING good.

2/
It wasn’t even the FINDING IT that mattered. It was the act of looking.

It takes your eyes off of the wreckage and reminds you that even when it seems all bad, there is at least some good.

So, even if it’s forced, it matters this week. Probably more than most.

3/
Read 4 tweets
Oct 5, 2018
Just gonna lay this down here...

Behind the public facade of McConnell being all in on Kav, Treason Turtle knows that R voters tend to vote best when they're voting angry.

Repubs got their best polling news in two years this week. The potential for a Kav loss woke the base.

1/
While a highly public defeat would seem like just that - a defeat - McConnell inevitably knows that it could be just the ticket to saving control of the Senate in November.

In ordinary times, I'd see the push to vote on Kav as a dire sign.

Today though, not so fast...

2/
A Kavanaugh defeat at the hands of Murkowski, Collins and Manchin wouldn't hurt Murkowski or Collins much (if at all) but would hurt Manchin - and more importantly, would probably swing the generic ballot 3-5 points nationwide.

A loss here would be a win in 30 days.

3/
Read 5 tweets
Oct 3, 2018
I’m just going to gush for a second.

The NYT’s sprawling exposé on the fraudulent myth of a successful Donald J. Trump is just everything journalism is supposed to be.

It’s a soaring journalistic achievement of legwork and research. It’s a careful unraveling. A distillation.
1/
It’s the kind of comprehensive investigative reporting that topples tyrants and preserves democracies.

It is a masterwork.

A Pulitzer is due and all but assured.

2/
Yet, at the same time it is also an accidental confessional and partially indicting of the Times’ itself.

Tucked among the 13,000 words is a single paragraph about the Times’ role in erecting the false edifice of the swaggering, young impresario who never was.

2/
Read 6 tweets
Oct 3, 2018
Folks who have survived narcissists will get this one...

When you’re close to a narc, you develop an internal, subconscious weatherman.

You can read the room. You can feel the narc’s temperature like it’s air temp.

You can viscerally feel the volatility level. The danger.

1/
You can read their emotional state but more importantly, you can read what it means for YOUR emotional state.

It’s an “external locus of control”.

You pick up cues others wholly miss. You process shit you can’t explain.

It’s helpful and exhausting. Hypervigilance is both.

2/
With Trump, all of that is both helpful and not. It’s unfun but makes it all familiar.

Others with narc experience, weigh in here...

I can feel the Trump temp with not a whole lotta exposure. Just a glimpse is enough usually.

3/
Read 8 tweets
Sep 29, 2018
Y’all will invariably fill my mentions with endless chides about my fact-based dislike of Avenatti but here’s something that ought to be processed regardless:

The right LOVES Avenatti’s grandstanding. It’s the only good thing that happened for them this week.

1/
The right wants to spin all of the accusations against Kavanaugh as a political hitjob.

They want to turn attention from the actual accusers to the Dems attached to them. Avenatti, Feinstein, etc.

2/
The more political these victims, their coming forward, and their stories can be made to seem, the easier it is for the right to dismiss them as just a political assassination.

The WH has allegedly opted to prevent the FBI from interviewing Avenatti’s client, Julie Swetnick.

3/
Read 7 tweets
Sep 29, 2018
Tissue warning.

Yesterday, in the hall of the Senate, these two women found themselves facing Senator Jeff Flake with only a moment to change his mind.

The woman on the left, Ana Maria Achila, spoke first.

1/
Then, with the elevator doors closing, choked with emotion, desperate to be heard, desperate for all survivors of sexual assault to be heard, Maria Gallagher spoke.

“I was sexually assaulted.”

2/
Until that moment... with all the world watching... with cameras snapping... with the elevator doors about to close... she had told no one.

Maria Gallagher’s mother learned her daughter had been sexually assaulted the moment we did.

3/
Read 8 tweets

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