1. I’m extremely happy for #AlexandriaOcasioCortez, but some of the ‘hot takes’ this morning from the press and punditry are just a lot of ‘hot air’. Yes, primaries can shift candidates away from the center, but, primaries differ from the GE and Congress differs from campaigns.
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2. Choosing a further left candidate in a bright blue district is exactly where one expects to see these kind of shifts - and it’s a good thing, but can’t be extrapolated across the national party and across districts.
3. And, make no mistake, even in this progressive arena, Cortez will face tougher competition in the GE than an incumbent would have. That doesn’t mean it’s not worth the risk - but it speaks to strategy. Jason Crowley knew this and immediately endorsed Cortez. That helps a lot.
4. As the primaries can move a candidate away from the center, the general can move candidates toward the center. Why? Because whoever wins is going to need IND/NPP votes. A campaign point of wanting to abolish ICE will be heavily weaponized - as it plays into GOP attacks.
5. The lie that the WH is signaling should be the central focus of the GOP midterm strategy is that Dems want open borders. Cortez will necessarily have to address attacks on this from her opposition and clarify her stance.
6. Is it possible she could still win without walking back her stance at all? Perhaps in this district, but it’s still risky. In reality (and one hopes people realize it), campaign points that seem ‘extreme’ aren’t going to matter much once someone actually wins a seat.
7. She will be a fresh and powerful voice to fight the GOP and help influence her Congressional peers. She will be a much needed vote for Dem policy should we take a majority in November, but it’s pretty unlikely she would be able to bring and pass a bill to abolish ICE.
8. I say all this as a reminder to pundits and voters alike to keep your eye on the big picture and not get too lost in reading the tea leaves and prognosticating. Right now, it’s this simple - take a Congressional majority in November. Without that - none of this matters.
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1. #Millennials we are reaching the final days for Voter Registration! The policy direction determined by the 2018 midterm elections WILL absolutely impact your life choices and options. The #Healthcare vote matters even if you're young and healthy.
2. Company/employee loyalty has become a nominal factor in career trajectory. Boomers lamented how often GenXers would change jobs, but #Millennials have figured out how to make lateral moves work in their favor.
3. Young workers move on from companies relatively quickly, enhancing their resume and generally increasing earning power with each lateral move. Companies are able to keep their employee costs down - for many industries it's a win-win.
1. When the actions of our government spark mass protest it is a sign that the democratic process is unwell - that the government is operating well-outside the mainstream. Historically, the reasons differ.
2. Usually, it is because the government is resisting change that is wanted by the majority of the country - as with the Suffrage and Civil Rights movements. It can also be due to a disagreement of the majority with policy - as with the Vietnam War.
3. The mass protests witnessed since 2016 are a bit different. We have seen a majority party not just resisting progress, but wishing to dial it back - fully aware it is against the wishes of the majority of the population.
1. Mitch McConnell's Legacy. This has been the consistent explanation that has created the backdrop of the past two chaotic years. His desire to leave office having effectively stacked and shaped the Courts to support Right Wing ideology for subsequent generations.
2. In his singular pursuit of this mission, he has shrugged off a barrage of damage to our Democracy. He has supported unfit leaders, ignored breaches of Constitutional and Institutional norms, looked the other way as justice, ethics, truth and faith in our systems are damaged.
3. The reality is that @senatemajldr has already confirmed his legacy with his Faustian approach. That's the problem with 'slippery slopes' - you end up at the bottom. McConnell's gravest error has been trying to force the American people to the bottom with him.
1. As I'm sure many of you have, I often wonder about Post-Trump America. Obviously, there will be the arduous, and likely, long task of repairing policies, foreign relationships and treaties. But, what of our culture?
2. Will this careening journey through the gutter permanently lower the bar? Are our institutions permanently damaged? Our sense of truth permanently broken in a portion of our citizenry? Will class, honor, honesty and respect find their way back as pillars of our offices?
3. Yes, we were never perfect, but there were expectations of behavior. Norms that supported respectful checks and balances. Norms that have been shattered to the extent that we are no longer even shocked by extreme behavior from this administration - a cultural numbing.
1. Scapegoating immigrants and 'valuating'people based on race/ethnicity is not new. I say this to draw attention to the shame that we haven't evolved past this and to remind that, as Americans, we must stand against the hatred that plagued the lives of many of our own families.
2. Are you aware of your genealogy? Are you familiar with the trials and tribulations experienced by your ancestors when they came to this country? If you turn a blind eye to this hatred because it's targeted at POC - are you aware that European immigrants faced hatred also?
3. My mother and father's families both immigrated from Ireland in the early 1850's - fleeing starvation and oppression to a promise of freedom and opportunity in America. My mother's family first went to CO to take their chance at the Gold Rush.
1. We don't actually know if votes were altered or registrations affected by Russians in 2016. There has been no adequate investigation - partially because we don't have a comprehensive way to do so and partially because our gov is probably afraid to look in that dark corner.
2. We do know we were attacked in a sophisticated and multi-pronged military-level campaign. We know people were manipulated through social media and targeted ads, we know individuals and political campaigns were targeted. We also know they're doing it again.
3. The GRU has already inserted itself in Florida election systems - one of it's targets from 2016. Without adequate protection, they are positioned to attack the systems. The government must act...but, what can we do as voters in the face of all this?