Jim Golby Profile picture
Jul 13, 2018 14 tweets 5 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
I'm going to make a point about the civ-mil gap and the AVF, but bear with me for a few tweets.

In grad school I learned that 1 of the most durable findings in behavioral political science is that when people don't know the answer to a survey question, they just make one up. 1/
Comedians like Jimmy Kimmel & shows like The Daily Show exploit this all the time for laughs. See, for example, this clip on #SpaceForce: 2/
That’s why it was so surpring when Peter Feaver @lindsaypcohn & I found in “Warriors and Citizens” that a large/growing portion of the public refused to answer survey questions when asked about service members or the military. cc: @KoriSchake 3/
This trend didn’t show up among “elites” and it hadn’t shown up in 1998-99 during the last big survey of public attitudes about the military. 4/
I’ve tried to make sense of this finding.

I’m proud of the fact that volunteers serve so the other Americans can live happy and productive lives without having to worry about their security every day.

I think that’s a really good thing. 5/
And I agree with @pptsapper that entitlement among those of us who serve he’s a real and growing problem. @lindsaypcohn Peter & I found evidence that service members do in fact feel more entitled than they did before the wars. That is dangerous. 6/
But, some days, it still can be difficult to not be a little angry that not only do people not know about their military, but they know they don’t know & don’t seem to want to learn more about why people are dying in their name. 7/
I don’t mean to get on a soapbox, but if you’re reading this, take some time today to read an article about U.S. foreign foreign policy. Maybe read about the #NATOSummit. 8/
Read this great piece about what it’s like to be a veteran coming home by @PeterLucier 9/
Remember SFC Celiz and the thousands of others who have died in Iraq, Afghanistan, Yemen, Niger, or Somalia over the last 17 years. Learn about your military. 10/
And, no matter what your views are or whether you support/oppose recent wars, participate in our democracy. Be informed. Exercise your free speech. Honor service members’ sacrifices by ensuring that every sacrifice we ask current/future service members to make is worth it. 11/
You may not know anything about the military, but it doesn’t have to stay that way. 12/12
Oops. Here’s the link:

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More from @jimgolby

Sep 7, 2018
<Thread> There's a lot going on so I missed this yesterday, but the media is reporting GEN (Ret) Jack Keane is under consideration to replace Secretary Mattis if/when he departs.

I'm not a sociologist, but I want to talk a little bit about norms. 1/

Others have covered the ground on why the norm of not having retired generals or admirals serve as SecDef is important. @ahfdc, for example, says even having a really good retired general serve as SecDef can threaten civilian control of the military: 2/

@charlie_simpson argues that retired generals & admirals (& Secretary Mattis in particular) hate management & administration so they rarely make good bureaucrats: 3/
Read 27 tweets
Aug 19, 2018
<thread> Most people have been focused on the question of whether it was a good idea for ADM (Ret) McRaven to violate a civ-mil norm by writing a letter criticizing the President, but Ken raises a good point about whether it will make an impact. I think that’s unlikely. 1/
I’ve done research related to whether endorsements from retired generals & admirals influence elections. The short answer is they probably don’t, and there’s little reason to think McRaven’s letter will either - but it’s not clear-cut. 2/
In the aggregate, the study we did for @CNASdc showed no aggregate effects of endorsements by retired officers in advance of the 2012 election. 3/
Read 18 tweets
Aug 6, 2018
After three days in Budapest, I am struck by just how palpable the legacies of the wars of the 20th century - WWI, WWII, and the Cold War - still are in Hungary. And I was reminded of the very real threats, both internal & external, facing our Allies today. 1/
100 years later, there are constant reminders of the humiliation Hungary suffered at the end of WWI. As a result of the Treaty of Trianon, the pre-war Kingdom of Hungary lost more than 2/3 of its territory & almost a third of ethnic Hungarians were left outside the new state. 2/
You also get a sense of the lost greatness of Hungary in its breathtaking memorials and architecture, such as the magnificent Hungarian Parliament building. 3/
Read 27 tweets
Aug 3, 2018
<Thread> This @TaskandPurpose article by Emma Moore from @CNASdc makes a really important point about the civil-military gaps. It is this: people simply don’t understand how much diversity there is our armed forces. 1/
In @KoriSchake and Sec Mattis’s book, @lindsaypcohn Peter Feaver & I noted that fewer people know someone who has served in the military, and that this trend is likely to continue. 2/
But we didn’t emphasize a related, but nuanced point - it is not just that fewer people know someone who has served, it is also that even those who know someone who has served, know fewer people who have served. 3/
Read 19 tweets
Jul 27, 2018
European Vacation Day 1/16

Brussels, Belgium to Alsfeld, Germany

440 km in 4.5 hrs

Audiobook = The Vanderbeekers of 141st Street

Whininess level = 3/10

Gelato stops = 1

Lunar eclipses = 1

Tight alleys = ALL OF THEM

Beers = 2

Kids I wanna throttle = 1

Alsfeld is charming
Day 2/16

Asfeldt to Prague

450 km, 5 hrs

A-book: Vanderbeekers👍

Music: The Academic, Greatest Showman

Audi wagons passing us = 56

Snakes = 1

Time figuring out metro = 45 mins

Chipped teeth = 1

Gelato = 1

Whininess level = 7/10

Wine = 1 btl

Kids I wanna throttle = 2
Driving Tour, Day 3/16


Restaurants delivering food via train = 1

Synagogues = 3

Beatles references = 7

Times my wife cried = 5

Cracked toenails = 1

Broken couches = 1

Sibling fights = 9,746

Whininess level = 9/10

Beers = 4

Wine = 1 btl

Kids I wanna throttle = 3
Read 16 tweets
May 27, 2018
<Thread> #MemorialDay is my least favorite day of the year, and it has been for at least 14 years. I want it to be a day where I honor the lives of the brothers & sisters I’ve lost by celebrating with my friends & family, but I’m not there yet. And I’m not sure I ever will be. 1/
Im working on it. I know that every last one of them would want me, and all of us, to live & celebrate life & make the most of every fleeting minute we have with our friends and families. And they’d want us to be happy this weekend. 2/
But I never am happy on Memorial Day. I feel loss & pain & guilt & shame. I think about my brothers & sisters the whole weekend, and so often throughout the year. I wish they were still here with us. I miss them every day, but especially this weekend. 3/
Read 22 tweets

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