Holy crap. The new Sabato Crystal Ball House ratings change is...big.
This is the first time the Crystal Ball has given Democrats better than 50/50 odds of taking the House. And there is a LOT to unpack here.
centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/ar…
This is the first time the Crystal Ball has given Democrats better than 50/50 odds of taking the House. And there is a LOT to unpack here.
centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/ar…
Here are Sabato's topline changes.
5 races are no longer Safe R: #IA04, #IN02, #IN09, #PA16, #TX31
3 races shift from Likely R to Lean R: #AR02, #FL16, #NM02
9 more R seats are now Tossups: #IA03, #IL06, #KY06, #MI08, #OH01, #OH12, #TX07, #WV03
And #FL13 is now Safe D.
5 races are no longer Safe R: #IA04, #IN02, #IN09, #PA16, #TX31
3 races shift from Likely R to Lean R: #AR02, #FL16, #NM02
9 more R seats are now Tossups: #IA03, #IL06, #KY06, #MI08, #OH01, #OH12, #TX07, #WV03
And #FL13 is now Safe D.
Here are a few takeaways:
-White nationalist Rep. Steve King has a credible challenge
-IN and WV have competitive House races (and the extra attention from Ds could help their senators here)
-#OH12 special is REALLY close
-Dem women vets (McGrath, Hegar) are kicking ass.
-White nationalist Rep. Steve King has a credible challenge
-IN and WV have competitive House races (and the extra attention from Ds could help their senators here)
-#OH12 special is REALLY close
-Dem women vets (McGrath, Hegar) are kicking ass.
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