The last 8 months has been one of the most eye opening times in my life, both personally & professionally. The December uprising showed me the critical state of #Iran. It was always hard to get information on areas outside of Tehran. But the uprising opened a whole new world.
As protestors took to the streets, I watched dozens of videos of people expressing their anger & desperation. I watched regime forces shooting & beating poor & thirsty people. I saw the world react with indifference. I saw how how the regime used the nuke agreement 2 oppress
#Iranians. I always knew how terrible this regime was. But the extent of its destruction became more clear than ever. I never thought Rouhani would improve #Iran. But I hoped that the benefits of the nuke agreement would trickle down. Maybe 30% of returned assets would be spent
On the people. But the regime swallowed the benefits whole. I knew it was corrupt & was slowly killing #Iran. But it’s killing #Iran much faster than I thought.
I learned more about the water crisis.
I learned more about environmental destruction.
I was worried about Iran.
Now I feel anguished, an anguish I haven’t felt so deeply in years. I feel that the country which gave me hope is now on the brink of total failure. I wanted to believe that #Iran would evolve. That the old regime generation would pass so there’d be change without chaos.
The uprising showed me it’s nearly too late for #Iran. There isn’t much time left.
I also escaped the DC bubble. I spoke to many people outside of the think tank/policy hive. I watched desperate Iranians cry out. Every day, for 8 months I’ve watched.
I saw people try to bully me to be quiet. I was told I’m an “exile” & don’t know better. That I didn’t live in Iran although it wasn’t my choice.
That I should have “humility.”
I saw how the nuke agreement was used to crush the people. I saw how influential the regime had become in DC.
And I escaped my bounds.
The time to act is now. It’s now or never for #Iran. There are no ideal options. The choices are painful.
Yet I have hope too. I’ve seen how #Iran can be rebuilt. I’ve imagined a new Iran. I believe every Iranian who wants freedom for Iran has a moral obligation to help. I’ll do what I can. I won’t stand silent & see the land of my birth burn down to the ground.

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More from @AlirezaNader

Jun 2, 2018
Assessment of #Iran

1. Several provinces and cities are likely to run out of water this summer. A few cities are already experiencing lack of water. This is likely to lead to greater unrest.

2. The economy continues its decline with major capital flight reported.
Additional sanctions are likely to hasten the economy’s death spiral, leading to major unrest.

3. Overall the public mood in #Iran can be described as explosive. Contrary to some analyses, #iranians have not rallied around the flag in response to Trump’s policies.
4. The movement to overthrow the regime is growing. There is no one specific party or group that leads it, but younger Iranians seem to be a big part of it. Lack of centralized leadership has pros & cons but it prevents regime from crushing opposition easily.
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