Guns Are Killing Us Profile picture
Jul 26, 2018 12 tweets 3 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
The Uphill Battle to Take the #Senate
We have a chance for Democrats to gain the #SenateMajority after the Nov elections. The balance is currently 51/49 (including 2 Indep’s.). We need turnover at least 2 GOP seats, w/o any losses. With losses, we will need to win more.
Senators serve for six years, divided into three ‘classes’. One-third of Senate seats are in play every two years, plus any vacancies for early resignations. This year there are two of the latter.
Unfortunately, in 2018, we have an uphill battle. There are 35 races, but 26 are for Democratic seats, and only 9 are GOP. And most of the latter are considered ‘safe’ for the incumbents. So, taking the Senate in 2018 is a daunting task.
This uneven division is mostly the result of successful 2000, 2006 & 2012 elections, which threw out 12 Republican Senators. All these seats have remained Democratic.

So, the ONLY winning strategy is to defend all the 26 - and try to overturn as many of the nine as possible.
If you want a much more liberal Senate, look to the next 2 elections. In 2020 12 Democrats and 21 Republicans are up for reelection. In 2022, it is 12 Democrats, 22 Republicans. There is a large potential for gains. I count ten Republicans in those two classes in Swing states.
A Senate Majority can block any legislation or nomination. Also, the Majority controls the agenda. It appoints all of the committee chairpersons and decides which bills to send to those committees. (No, impeachment requires two-thirds.)
These are the incumbent Demos most in trouble. They are all in Red or Swing States.… Ratings by The Cook Political Report, Apr 9, 2018, Inside Politics, Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales, July 6, 2018, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball, July 24, 2018. Last accessed July 25, 2018.
Average of polling data in the last few months. RCP: Real Clear Politics.… Last accessed July 25, 2018.

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More from @K_Thomas_Ross

Aug 27, 2018
An aggregation of US #SenateEndorsements for Democratic Candidates:
Demo candidates grouped by allied goal endorsements of national groups. In general, a sea of blue. Swing or Red states are exceptions.
Many organizations don’t finalize who they will back until the end of the primary season, in mid-Sept. Their endorsements are not complete, nor their final view of candidates. Combining various organization w/ similar goals overcomes that problem.
We know what the GOP has become. This is who we are. Most favor human rights, sensible gun laws, fair wages, health care, ending corruption, social justice, and saving the environment and the World. Simply, plain human decency, and our survival.
Read 22 tweets
Aug 14, 2018
SENATE ENDORSEMENTS RECAP: Advocacies by major liberal groups to date. NOTE that many await the final primary (mid-September) to make a full list of endorsements, so this table will GREATLY FILL THEN.
Abbreviations (other than the obvious):
AFT/NEA – the two major teachers unions
CSGV -Coalition to Stop Gun Violence
CLW - Council for a Livable World
Emily -Emily’s List
End CU - End Citizens United
Read 8 tweets
Aug 9, 2018
Senate Candidates endorsed (or receiving contributions) from the National Education Association and/or the American Federation of Teachers:
Ariz -Kyrsten Sinema
Conn - Chris Murphy
DEL -Tom Carper
Fla - Bill Nelson
HI - Mazie Hirono
IND – Joe Donnelly
OH – Sherrod Brown
ME - Angus King
MD - Ben Cardin
Mass - Elizabeth Warren
Mich- Debbie Stabenow
Minn -Amy Klobuchar, Tina Smith
MO - Claire McCaskill
Mont -Jon Tester
Nebr -Jane Raybould
NM - Martin Heinrich
NJ - Bob Menendez
NY - Kirsten Gillibrand
NV – Jackie Rosen
ND - Heidi Heitkamp
OH – Sherrod Brown
PA - Bob Casey
RI - Sheldon Whitehouse
Tex - Beto O'Rourke
VT - Bernie Sanders
VA - Tim Kaine
W.VA - Joe Manchin
Wisc - Tammy Baldwin
Read 4 tweets
Apr 26, 2018
The Supreme Court and the New Civil War
She is totally right that this is a civil war. But it is not the Justice Dept or the Supreme Court that is the main battlefield. Rather, it is in the Convention of the States. The Koch brothers intend to return us to the pre-Civil War days, in which there was not large
central government. No business, labor and environmental regulations, farm policy, health care, Social Security and Medicare, housing and poverty programs, highway funding, airline regulations, and education policies.
Read 18 tweets
Apr 25, 2018
Fact 1: in the early 1900’s rich women & their children died at far higher rates than did the poor, because of common sense midwives, while rich had doctors w/o the sense to wash their hands, & tried to use & justify the cost of new (unnecessary) devises and surgeries.
Conclusions: 1) Beware of doctors pushing unnecessary and dangerous crap, for a profit. 2) Beware of doctors.
Fact 2: New England Journal of Medicine. 358: 252-260. Placebos
(sugar pills) are 80% as effect as antidepressants, w/o the side effects, which are usually dismal. Antidepressants are usually much worse than nothing. There are no happy pills.
Read 11 tweets

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