Thread by @SARReport

The #Idleb issue will take longer time to be solved by the Syrian Government but that doesn't mean it will be left.
The path will be multinatured.
1) Military
2) Political
3) humanitarian
We will talk about each in the following thread.👇

1)Military. A full scale offensive for the 1st phase is not realistic. But tactical advances in north of Hama & capturing remaining parts of Latakia province untill JisrShughur is necessary & achievable as well.
The other part of military solution is tied with the political (1)👇

Turkey now took the responsibility to establish the base of a final shape of Syrian opposition which will eradicate radicals from its ranks & subject a united military unit to a political union of opposition factions under Turkish care.
(2)

This has several paths in its process including the already ongoing
-elimination of alqaeda figures
-neutralizing of other factions radical figures or who represents a restraint
At some point this may lead into a civil war in Idleb> Turkey backs "moderates" against radicals(3)

If the civil war happens in Idleb it will lead to finalize a new form of opposition that will be ready to fully integrate itself in the political solution of the Syrian conflict (New constitution, elections, reconstruction, fight against terrorism) & other discussed issues (4)👇

With kurds showing signs of a possible final settlement with the Syrian government & hand over what they can't possess legally, the Government relieves itself from capturing north east by force & regains further access to national resources & the backing of kurds(5)

So Turkey is highly interested by following its national interests to cooperate with Russia,Iran & indirectly coordinate the Idleb issue with the Syrian Government,which nowadays already has the most variety of cards to play within its territory (all of Syria) (6)

Humanitarian issue is real & fundamental, therefore measures had been taken by parties to avoid what can avoided. Russia already opened several corridors with essential infrastructures on the contact line to receive civilians comming from Idleb. (7)👇

This will help reduce number of civilians as much as possible from #Idleb which helps during military operations against radical jihadis who refuse any political solution & many of them Internationally designated as terrorists for good reasons (8)

The humanitarian issue is a joint Syrian and Russian effort but now is a political open door for those who want to restablish contact with Syrian Government just like the French did when they sent medical help to Damascus Ghouta recently. 👇

So much more can be discussed and said but that which is about #Idleb's time is comming is sure & soon... (end)