Here's the insider trading indictment against Chris Collins (NY-24), Trump's first supporter in Congress. He's a goner. documentcloud.org/documents/4639…
Collins and a bunch of people in his circle were big investors in an Australian biotech company. They all dumped stock after he tipped them off to a bad clinical trial result.
Collins's son and his son's father-in-law were both indicted along with him. His daughter-in-law and a bunch of others are listed as co-conspirators. They've got texts and cooperating witnesses.
If you're keeping score at home, Collins's #NY27 is a rural district east of Buffalo. Trump won it 60-35, and Collins was expected to be re-elected in a walk this November.
Collins's statement on the indictment notes that he didn't trade any stock himself. (As the indictment points out, his stock was held in Australia, where trading was already halted when he got the insider info.) chriscollins.house.gov/media-center/p…
(In the first tweet in the thread I mistyped Collins's district. It's #NY27, not 24.)
Oh, and here's Collins's #NY27 Democratic challenger, @Nate_McMurray, whose day just got very very interesting.
Holy crap. @Nate_McMurray is competing in the demolition derby at the Erie County Fair later this month. I've been to that derby like four times.
Dean Heller (R-NV) just voted to confirm Kavanaugh. He recently called the sexual assault allegations against the judge "a little hiccup." He's up for re-election next month.
Jacky Rosen, Heller's Democratic opponent, said Kavanaugh "lacks the impartiality, the integrity, and the judicial temperament to sit on the Supreme Court." 538 says she has a 52.9% chance of winning. You can donate to her campaign here. secure.actblue.com/donate/jr_fr-s…
538 says Heidi Heitkamp (D-ND) has a 31.4% chance of winning, but she voted against Kavanaugh anyway—in North Dakota—saying "our actions right now are a poignant signal to young girls and women across our country." You can support her campaign here. secure.actblue.com/donate/heidi-h…
Yep. It's not "young people don't vote," it's "each one of us, when we're young, is less likely to vote than we will be when we get older." And there are practical, structural reasons for that—things that we can change.
It's not that we don't know how to make it easier and more attractive for people to vote. It's that a lot of people in power—disproportionately, though not exclusively, Republicans—aren't interested in doing so.
Youth voter turnout is going to be higher this year than it is in most midterms, but it's not because old people have been yelling at young people to shame them for not voting.
Just a reminder that the vote that's happening right now is a vote invoke cloture—to limit debate and move to a vote on the nomination. Voting yes now (as Collins, for one, will do) isn't a tell on your vote tomorrow.
That said, Murkowski voting no is ... quite interesting.
(Collins announced before the cloture vote that she was voting yes on cloture but wouldn't announce her vote on the nomination itself until later today.)
David Brooks thinks the problem with people's responses to the Kavanaugh nomination is that they predictably adopted positions in line with their prior sociocultural commitments. Which position is, of course, predictable and in line with his prior sociocultural commitments.
"People formed their opinions on Kavanaugh mechanically and predictably!" says Brooks, in a column that anyone who's ever read two Brooks columns could have dictated verbatim a week ago.
Fun fact: I wrote the above two tweets on the basis of a one-sentence screenshot someone tweeted, and only afterwards went back and read the column to make sure I wasn't making an ass of myself. I wasn't!
An interesting, easy to miss, sentence from WaPo's piece on Manchin and the Kavanaugh vote tonight.
Note the phrasing here—Republicans think they can get Manchin "if they can get 50" votes without him. But they only need a total of 50, since Pence can break a tie if needed.
Now, this may be an error—@seungminkim, can you comment?—and what they meant to say was that the GOP believes that if they can get to 49, Manchin may get them to 50, but that's not what the piece currently says.
Each of my kids has gotten into an argument about Kavanaugh with a boy in their grade this week. By their accounts, both of them won.
The eleven-year-old cornered a kid she'd heard supported Kavanaugh, and he told her he had a bet with three other kids over whether any evidence against him would emerge.
She said, "How about the fact that he committed perjury multiple times?" His response, according to her, was a quiet "bye" as he walked away.