Nando Sigona Profile picture
Aug 19, 2018 9 tweets 5 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
Sea arrivals in #Spain are increasing.
But the closure of a #migration route doesn't mean that automatically migrants just move to a different one. There is little evidence of a 'route replacement' trend.
This is an important reminder that 'immigration policies' can affect migration flows but are hardly the only factor at play. The drivers of #migration are multiple and can't be reduce to the political will 'at destination'.
There is an overall and significant decrease in sea arrivals, which should be a warning for everyone still using the word 'migration crisis', but this is not the case, see… #Salvini #Italy
Despite, or perhaps in association with, the decrease in sea arrivals there is a significant increase of the mortality rate at sea, ie it is becoming more dangerous to attempt the crossing
At the peak of the #refugeecrisis in 2015, overall the mortality rate was below 1%, now despite much smaller numbers is around 2.5%, but there is more, at a closer look it is clear that the major shift is happening across one route in particular...
The Central Mediterranean route from Libya to Italy/Malta is the one where the rapid decline in arrivals (partly because some rescue boats are diverted towards other EU states) hasn't made the route safer, but on the contrary is making it more deadly.… here I explain why #Spain is NOT the new #Greece - despite the relative increase in arrivals, and why policy makers' attention should be elsewhere, on promoting positive #integration of those already in the EU #migrationEU
So #Spain is NOT the new Greece as far as sea arrivals but not even Italy (see the beginning of the thread). Morocco is a functioning state with close collaboration with the EU and therefore more willing & capable to patrol its borders
Turkey is also capable to patrol its borders if it wants - in March 2016 it turned off the #migration tap almost overnight. Libya is still a warzone, so while money has been pouring in, borders are still porous

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh

Keep Current with Nando Sigona

Nando Sigona Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!


Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!

This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!


0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy


3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!