But the big news isn’t in the headline. It’s this:
1/ There is ZERO chance that Manafort is going to get the kind of plea agreement the leak says he is seeking. (Mueller has shown a greater determination to flip Manafort about Trump than for anything else in his investigation.)
2/ In fact, I doubt very much that Manafort and his lawyers even BELIEVE they have any chance of getting such an agreement.
3/ #Mueller doesn’t leak, so the leak must have come from #Manafort’s side. The narrative that they are seeking something they must know they have no chance of getting must be a cover for discussions of what Manafort can offer Mueller (the proffer) about Trump and the campaign.
4/ That must be where the action is now, and Trump must be sweating blood over it.
5/ Bottom line: either #Manafort spends the rest of his life in jail; spends a lot of time in jail until he gets a pardon from Trump (if he ever does); or he spills the beans on Trump.
If Manafort does agree to cooperate with #Mueller, it’s game over for Trump.
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I posted this to Twitter a long time ago. It’s from Yuri Felshtinsky and Vladimir Pribylovsky, The Corporation: Russia and the KGB in the Age of President Putin. Encounter Books. 2008, pp. 40-41 (not available online):
(THREAD) Collins votes YES, so Kavanaugh’s confirmed.
This is the finale of the confirmation VOTE, but it is NOT the end of the #Kavanaugh ISSUE. 1/14
The FBI “investigation” was a sham, and that makes Collins’ special pleading for her YES vote a sham. It was a sickening performance. 2/14
The fatal weakness of her defense of her vote is that there was no meaningful investigation. Merely seeking corroboration in the form of direct, eyewitness testimony from the participants of the 1 Jul 1982 meeting does not constitute a meaningful investigation. 3/14
A subjective impression, admittedly, but in the pics and videos I have seen, Senate Rs look grim and worried--even, on occasion, angry.
D claim that this was a cover-up (20+ witnesses not called) is getting traction. No adequate push back from Rs yet.
McConnell saying on the floor that the Senate must vote to confirm b/c “in this country you’re not guilty until proven innocent” has this whole matter so wrong (it’s a job interview, Mitch, not a trial) that he must be feeling a little desperate.
(THREAD) The predicted early conclusion of the FBI background check on #Kavanaugh that has been reported by Politico and the WSJ is surprising and cause for anxiety and concern, but let’s look try hard to look on the (possibly) bright side. 1/8
We must keep in mind that this investigation is essentially a background check on #Kavanaugh, in light of newly surfaced allegations of belligerent drunkenness and sexual violence alleged against him by Ford and others. 2/8
So this investigation is more about Kavanaugh and his nomination than it is about Ford or any other accusers, and while the FBI does not reach conclusions, it does uncovers facts, and presents those facts to others so they can better reach their own conclusions. 3/8