Let me share my learnings at @ithoughtadviser. Firstly, I believe firmly that my primary role as an advisor is managing risk. Not maximising returns. My choice of the MF space was simply because i clearly saw the need existed in 2008. 1/10 #ManagingRisk #ContrarianInvesting
MF's offered ease of scalability, management & ample liquidity. We could buy as much quantity at same valuation. MF's wide product choice outside of diversified & largecap funds favoured advisory alpha generation. 2/10 #ContrarianInvesting #ManagingRisk @ithoughtadviser
Generally, advisors let fund managers decide portfolio composition and risk management. @ithoughtadviser believed it was our responsibility to play a constant role. So, we brought fund research, client risk profiling, market opportunity & #ManagingRisk closer in our work. 3/10
We had our fair share of cynics. "How can you do what fund managers can't?". We let our work speak. Early in 2009, we called financials the next market leading theme. We played themed MFs till January 2018. Timely entry, #PositionSizing, patience & exit gave #AdvisoryAlpha 4/10
It was not about just one scheme or theme. A holistic approach of fund choices, forward looking fund research & measured decisions helped. We did MF investing very differently. FMCG, midcap, pharma, tech- we were open to everything. #ManagingRisk stayed our constant focus. 5/10
We saw #Innovation as the key. But, MF's wanted advisors to do their bidding. There was a clear disconnect. We broke free by becoming an #RIA The entry of direct was a dramatic & tectonic shift. In Sept 2017, we moved on to only advise clients under direct option. 6/10
In a cost centric industry, advise must be clearly differentiated. Afterall, customers constantly judge. We use #ManagingRisk as the differentiator. Be it advising investing in tech & pharma in 2017-18 or advising exit in financials & midcaps in early 2018, we stay ahead. 7/10
Over a decade, our model has worked well, rationalised costs, improved process and stuck to forward looking fund research as the prime driver.
We don't make tall claims on returns. But, our belief that sound process leads to consistent performance is well established. 8/10
10 years is a good time to prove a model. Our clients helped us establish that clearly.
#Returns remain a function of how we advise on #ManagingRisk . We zealously keep our Clients ahead of risk. #Returns remain an outcome. 9/10
The future will be very challenging. @ithoughtadviser must constantly improve fund research processes,hold balanced macro & micro understanding & constantly help clients stay ahead of risk. Our gratitude to those who believed in us will always be our driver. 10/10 #ManagingRisk
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
Improving quality of PF is a constant pursuit. Need Zealous effort to keep watch on own line up, order & weights.
As markets rise, the tendency to give this pursuit up takes over. Money comes easy. A loosening tendency evolves. Investing turns lazy. 1/5 #BeatingBenchmarks
Heavy fund inflows make a manager think less about returns and more about deployment. Too much cheese on his plate makes him less hungry.
He no more enjoys investing. Yet, his plate is always full.
He only finds ways to deploy. Returns become secondary. 2/5 #BeatingBenchmarks
For a while, returns happen by themselves even as rampant mirroring of PF's occurs.
So aping in buying gives near term returns too. Slowly, the entire herd move to graze in a small area.
That's when a Lion roars & moves to kill. Everybody freezes wet. 3/5 #BeatingBenchmarks
If you are not looking at stocks moving the benchmark and investing far away from its prime movers, your returns will diverge rather than converge with benchmark returns. Contrarian investing typically works this way. #Benchmarktales
What individual investors do with their money is irrelevant to most others. Especially true of micro caps & small caps.
These companies are very, very risky. Only few turn out to be big winners. Several fall by the wayside.
No matter who owns a stock, the biz must deliver.
The problem with us is we are too willing to invert the decision process by which we choose stocks. We must look at businesses & pick the best.
But, we choose an investor. Then we decide to buy every Biz he buys. We assume he can do no wrong. But the biz can go wrong. 2/n
When the business fails to deliver, it becomes the investor’s failure by extension. This is classic third party management of our decision making responsibilities.
If same people go for a toss, they may well say
Heads, I lost because of you.
Tails, you won because of me. 3/n
#Portfolios carry innate positioning. Corrections are when positioning counts.
#Positioning depend on your style. #Value plays out distinctly. #Momentum has its own stamp. #Thematic plays to its own dynamics. Often, we follow a blend.
Moving away from looking for multibaggers meant One doesn’t try to identify stocks offering rapid PE growth that will be riding on short term EPS growth. 1/5 #MultiBagger#ValueInvesting
The earnings velocity created by shortages, near term biz disruptions & temp dynamics are mostly unsustainable. Convincing the world they are structural is not an honourable deed. Nor reflects decency. Most momentum is surreptitiously built to fool ordinary men. #MultiBagger 2/5
Look at industries where momentum is sought to be built. They will be less understood. Carry huge risks of disease and environmental damage. Non descript promoters. Building momentum is no accident. It is to a design. To fool institutions & retail in one go. 3/5 #MultiBagger