Katya Adler Profile picture
Oct 8, 2018 9 tweets 3 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
1) Get ready for a big #Brexit week this week - in Brussels and U.K.
2) European Commission decides today whether or not to delay 2 awaited publications scheduled for Wednesday appearance: paper on future EU-UK relationship and paper on stark EU intentions in case of no deal
3) These 2 papers could be used as carrot/sticks in negotiations but there’s a nervousness in EU circles to get tone right at this delicate coming-to-end-game state of #Brexit proceedings and not to be seen as bullying (remember Salzburg??)
4) EU diplomat tones are determinedly upbeat at the moment - see Jean Claude Juncker’s weekend interviews in Austrian press. Officially EU and U.K. still aiming to get #Brexit deal done and dusted at next week’s EU summit but that frankly would be a miracle
5) If deal nearing completion next week (this, along with all the usual caveats) then EU leaders plan to call a two-day #Brexit seal-the-deal summit in November
6) This is ideal for Theresa May - what she always wanted - Negotiating face to face with EU leaders, rather than with ‘Brussels bureaucrats’ - whether for the actual content of negotiations or for the awaiting cameras, the ‘show’ received by the outside world
7) Main sticking point in the way of closing a deal remains the Irish border backstop. Both EU and U.K. looking where they can move to enable agreement to be reached but an impasse is still v possible
8) The DUP’s Arlene Foster is in Brussels tomorrow - a reminder of the PM’s two big challenges this autumn: i) get a #Brexit deal signed off in Brussels and ii) get a Brexit deal signed off in parliament back home
9) Nervousness about No Deal mounting in EU quarters but French remaining most hardline - as have been consistently throughout negotiations. France’s EU minister threw the PM’s mantra back at her last week, pointing out that for the EU too ‘No deal is better than a bad deal’

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More from @BBCkatyaadler

Oct 4, 2018
1) Irish PM in Brussels for crucial talks today. The Irish backstop is THE main stumbling block to completing the UK’s withdrawal agreement from the EU. Will Varadkar push for more EU openness to U.K. proposals?
2) Varadkar is seeing (separately) the Pres of the European Council (who represents all EU leaders in Brussels) and Commission man Barnier who leads Brexit negotiations for the EU. Are there differences in opinion appearing in EU over a possible backstop solution?
3) EU insists there must be a legally binding backstop agreement - a fallback scenario that may never be used but wld guarantee that -whatever the future relationship between the EU and U.K. after Brexit - there would never be a new harder border between NIreland and Ireland
Read 8 tweets
Sep 6, 2018
EU diplomats shrug at what they view as U.K. hysteria over Canada+ or Chequers #Brexit debate. The EU says the choice was never the UK’s alone 1
EU viewsChequers as a U.K. government position. Not an end in itself. Brussels aim: to navigate between Chequers and EU red lines.. 2
Accusation I often hear in Brussels is that U.K. Brexit negotiators are fine wordsmiths but that there’s often little meaning behind the words 3
Read 19 tweets
Jun 18, 2018
How embarrassing for #Merkel that EU divisions over #migration policies - where some European governments or government ministers prefer to go it alone rather than to find a common EU position - is being played out - in neon-lit glaring headlines - in her own administration 1
#Merkel has always pushed for EU-wide migration solutions (though she took a rather large unilateral decision herself back in 2015 when she opened the doors to over a million asylum-seekers, in defiance of EU regulations) 2
Those regulations stipulate that irregular migrants must be processed in the first EU country they arrive in- but #Merkel argued that no-one was looking after or documenting them (remember the chaos in Greece and Hungary?) 3
Read 19 tweets

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