Gavin Hales Profile picture
Oct 27, 2017 14 tweets 6 min read
Arrests down, blame the police?

Thread. 1/
According to the Crime Survey for England and Wales crime is down a lot; police recorded crime has been rising in recent years.

We know police recorded is up partly due to more reported crimes being recorded by forces, esp less serious

What abt all the 5m fraud & computer misuse offences the CSEW now tells us abt? Transnational, organised, industrialised = few arrests

Next: pre-2010 numerous targets incentivised arrests - eg OBTJs. Whitehall targets were removed by T May.…

Lid was lifted on eg #CSE #CSA in Rotherham & Rochdale, attention shifted fr 'volume' to harm/#vulnerability…

Complexity of much police work increased accordingly, esp investigative workloads. All else equal = fewer proactive resources, arrests.

Reforms to #stopsearch - most fr Govt, some pressure fr eg @ehrc - has led to huge falls in volumes of #stopsearch & resulting arrests

Reforms to Code G of PACE in 2012 meant the bar for 'necessity' of arrest was set higher = fewer arrests…

Reforms to pre-charge bail, use of which has fallen greatly, may have served to further disincentivise arrest

And of course the #policeworkforce has shrunk. By Mar17 there were 20,592 fewer police officers than in 2010 (-14.3%)

Even in @metpoliceuk which (til now) has protected officer nos, now many fewer in borough/volume crime roles

Concl: taking a broad & balanced view, the fall in arrests has *many* causes. No basis for concl police pursuing 'soft justice'. /Ends

There is a 'but'. Arrest rates vary signficantly between forces.


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More from @gmhales

Sep 20, 2018
1. I've had a chance to read the new @StopWatchUK report by @PatrickWillia17 on the MPS #gangsmatrix. Some early reflections here, hope to write something more considered in due course.

Key Q for me: if the matrix was scrapped tomorrow, what would actually change?

2. I'll start by saying I think it is appropriate for police and other agencies to have a particular focus on gang/group violence, as long as it is only one lens through which violence is understood and addressed.
3. Key point for me: the significance of gang/group dynamics as risk mulitipliers, eg collective responsibility and revenge. Maybe the ‘gang’ label detracts from what are broader phenomena (especially in respect of 'associates')? #gangsmatrix
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