Sluggardo Profile picture
Nov 8, 2017 14 tweets 3 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
Thread: Why are Lib Dems stuck on 7-8% when both Labour & Tories so poor/extreme atm? Easy: under FPTP, vote often counts more if used negatively. 1/
You might be a natural supporter of Lib Dems or Greens or whoever- but know they have little chance of getting elected in yr constituency. 2/
So if you can’t get the MP or the govt you want, what do you do with your vote if you want to have some kind of impact? 3/
Well, provided you’re lucky enough *not* to live in a safe seat held by the party you hate (or fear) the most, you still can have an impact. 4/
If yr objective= stop party you hate/fear from getting big maj, rational response= vote for party with best chance of beating them locally= often other big national party. 5/
That IMO is why, despite being complete shitshows atm, both Tories & Labour polling around 40%. It’s why they both scored 38-40% in #GE2017. 6/
Sorry, Owen, it’s not cos 40% of ppl are enthused by prospect of Oh-Jeremy-Corbyn becoming PM... 7/
...and sorry, Theresa, it sure as hell ain’t cos 40% of ppl fancied a Tory govt mindlessly pressing on with a slogan-based #MillwallBrexit. 8/
It’s cos 20-25% of ppl wholeheartedly support each of your parties. And another 15-20% are *desperate* to avoid the other lot getting in *at any price*. 9/
And, cos of the disgrace that is FPTP, you can either piss away your vote by voting “positively” (for the 3rd or 4th party that actually reflects your views)... 10/
...or you can exert some influence by voting ‘negatively’ (purely to deny the hated “Tory scum” or the feared “Marxist terrorist sympathisers” a majority). 11/
For many under FPTP, best you can hope for= voting for a party which is (at best) your 2nd choice to deprive your least-favourite party of a majority. 12/
What a depressing, unrepresentative, demotivating, negative electoral system FPTP is. #MakeVotesMatter #PRNow #KillFPTP 13/
Imagine if we could use our vote by casting it for the party with the best policies, rather than having to calculate how to stop the party with the worst policies. I’m a crazy dreamer! 😢 14/14

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More from @eurosluggard

Aug 7, 2018
THREAD: Ahead of my semi-retirement from Twitter tomorrow, I’m going to be self-indulgent & re-up some of the stuff I’m proudest of from these past 3 years. (Spoiler: nearly all about Brexit: a mix of analysis, advice & scathing, sweary invective). [1/x]
2/
My time on Twitter has been a journey. I started out naively arguing for what I believed in, assuming our opponents were similarly acting in good faith. I’ve learnt a lot. Along the way, I’ve had fun, made friends, & valued the sense of community here when things felt bad.
3/
There’s not much to say about my first 18 months on Twitter. For the first year, I was living in Japan so it was my way of feeling connected with the politics of my home country. I felt the looming EUref was big. I argued with Leavers, including Julia H-B & Louise Mensch.
Read 25 tweets
Aug 7, 2018
THREAD: Ahead of my semi-retirement from Twitter tomorrow, I’m going to be self-indulgent & re-up some of the stuff I’m proudest of from these past 3 years. (Spoiler: nearly all about Brexit: a mix of observation, analysis, advice & scathing invective). [1/x]
2/
My time on Twitter has been a journey. I started out naively arguing for what I believed in, assuming our opponents were similarly acting in good faith. I’ve learnt a lot. Along the way, I’ve had fun, made friends, & valued the sense of community here when things felt bad.
3/
There’s not much to say about my first 18 months on Twitter. For the first year, I was living in Japan so it was my way of feeling connected with the politics of my home country. I felt the looming EUref was big. I argued with Leavers, including Julia H-B & Louise Mensch.
Read 14 tweets
Aug 3, 2018
Announcing my Twitter semi-retirement as of 8 August. Holiday, then a demanding new job; so I’m deleting Twitter from my phone. I’ll observe/like/retweet a bit & may tweet occasionally, but after 3 years it’s time for me to cut back. Thanks & best wishes to all you lovely people!
For avoidance of doubt, my views on Brexit remain unchanged: it’s a terrible idea for all the reasons I listed in this thread back in April 2017.
Ideally, it should be stopped for the sake of the country. And if it can no longer be stopped because of the scorched-earth tactics used by the zealots who promoted it to lock in their narrow EUref victory, it should be softened a) to limit the damage & b) to teach them a lesson.
Read 5 tweets
Aug 2, 2018
Tearing my hair out at well-meaning people who keep saying Alt-Right controversialists & Brexit advocates are “stupid” because they say factually wrong, obtuse or offensive things. They are *not* stupid; they are part of a highly sophisticated network running rings around us👇
We keep making the mistake of applying our standards and our rules to them. They are NOT trying to win a fact-based argument. They are not trying to convince most people that what they’re saying is true. Here’s what they are (successfully) doing:👇
- dominating news cycle & setting theme of national conversation

- generating outrage (authoritarianism, or fascism if you prefer, thrives in a climate of anger, polarisation & shouting)

- dogwhistling to a tiny radicalised minority

- grooming another susceptible minority
Read 9 tweets
Aug 2, 2018
Big problem with BBC’s justification for giving a platform to the Alt-Shite (“we don’t agree with them but they speak for a significant minority; we must let consensus be challenged”): after EUref, BBC shut down the views of those who still thought leaving the EU was a bad idea.
BBC clearly decides that *some* views which are held by a significant minority of the population, and which challenge whatever right-thinking people have decided is the new consensus are just too inconvenient and divisive to be heard. But others are not.
I just find it a bit weird that the minority view that gets frantically shut down is the one in favour of international cooperation & upholding the (admittedly shaky) consensus of the past 40 years while the one that gets airtime is the one that rests on sowing polarisation.
Read 4 tweets
Jul 30, 2018
THREAD: We are now well & truly past the stage of Brexit where satire has any meaning. There’s nothing we can do to make Brexiters’ words & ideas more ridiculous than they already are. You simply need to quote them as they are presented in supposedly pro-Brexit newspapers. (1/x)
Take this article: “May’s ‘no-deal’ Brexit stance is kamikaze say Leavers” in the ERG fanzine formerly known as the Daily Telegraph...
2/
“Brexiteers had hoped that the publication next month of dozens of documents setting out Britain’s No-Deal planning would show the impact it would have on the EU as well, giving the Prime Minister leverage in the negotiations.”
3/
Read 9 tweets

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