Thread: The stats behind the #Budget2017 spin. GDP revised down by an average of 0.4% a year. Earnings growth revised down by an average of 0.5% every year. Productivity growth revised down by an average of 0.7% a year. 1/
Why the downgrades? This is from OBR: "The fall in the pound that followed the EU referendum has pushed up consumer price inflation and squeezed households' real incomes and spending" 2/
Also from the OBR: "Sterling's fall has seen inflation pick up more rapidly in the UK than in the other major economies, contributing to weaker real growth" 3/
This is on top of the extra £3bn announced for Brexit preparations, money that could be going to the NHS or into housing instead. 4/
The government refuses to talk about it, but this #Budget2017 shows the real economic cost Brexit is having on households. The public have a right to be informed, government must release their #Brexit impact assessments. 5/5
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Today’s latest Brexit shambles from the Government - plastered over the papers and on display on broadcast - is merely the latest panicked response to the momentum generated this summer by the campaign for a People's Vote on any Brexit deal #PeoplesVote /1
This week politicians return to Westminster and we are no nearer to any deal at all but the ground has shifted since they went on holiday. All summer long the impetus has shifted across the country towards the #PeoplesVote campaign. /2
It is not surprising the #PeoplesVote campaign should grow and grow as the public discover the consequences of a badly botched departure from the EU that the Brextremists want to dump on the United Kingdom. /3
I stand by what I've said on racism in the Labour Party and won't be bullied into silence, not least because my family have experienced racism too. Jeremy Corbyn himself has said it is a problem Labour has not properly dealt with. If Len McCluskey doesn't like that, so be it. /1
Len McCluskey asks for "serious evidence" of institutional discrimination in the Labour Party against Jewish people - I set out in detail why it is wholly justified to reach this conclusion many weeks ago here independent.co.uk/voices/labour-… /2
Instead of attacking the victims of racism, our values dictate that we stand up for them -that is what I have done. Its shameful the General Secretary of the union of which I am a member should make a personal and political attack against me instead of facing up to this issue. /3
The @BestForBritain analysis finds that 112 constituencies have switched from Leave to Remain. It suggests there are now 341 seats with majority Remain support, up from 229 seats at the referendum. /2
The @BestForBritain analysis, co-produced by @hopenothate, shows this shift to Remain has been driven by doubts among Labour voters who backed Leave. The trend is starkest in the north of England and Wales – Labour heartlands in which Brexit sentiment appears to be changing. /3
THREAD: Today's events in Westminster - which relate to the process and not the substance of Brexit - do not change the fundamental mess and chaos of Brexit. The UK is heading for a bad Brexit deal but its not a done deal - a lot will happen between now and the Autumn. /1
Its disappointing the so called "Grieve 2" amendment did not pass this afternoon (I,of course, voted for it) but significant that Ministers were forced to climb down and issue a statement acknowledging Parliament's vital role at the end of the process. /2
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There are still 5 #Brexit related Bills still to make their way through Parliament which are legally binding and amendable: Customs Bill; Trade Bill; Fisheries Bill; Agriculture Bill; and, Immigration Bill. There will also be a huge number of statutory instruments to pass too. /3
This is simply not true - if the executive can’t command a majority in the House of Commons, you can’t govern. It’s been that way since the last century. It’s called parliamentary democracy!
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The more I think about this, the more ridiculous this claim by the PM seems. She clearly does not understand the UK’s, albeit unwritten, constitution. Parliament acts as a check and balance on the executive, not a rubber stamp. This is not a dictatorship.
It is even more ludicrous for a PM who lost her majority, has lost her authority and relies on the DUP to have any hope of getting her bills through in a hung Parliament, to come out with this nonsense. It flies in the face of her current political reality.
NEW: Dominic Grieve’s ‘meaningful vote’ amendment as tabled in the Lords by Lord Hailsham. Be in no doubt- if the Govt renege on their promise to adopt its principles, this will pass in the Lords on Monday and we’ll have the numbers to pass it in the Commons afterwards #Simples
What is going on is very straightforward: the hard right of the Tory party want the Govt to have a passport to crash out of the EU with no deal if Parliament rejects the Brexit deal - the PM, their hostage, doesn’t have the numbers in the Commons for this #EUWithdrawalBill
A prediction for next week: if he hasn’t already done so, Brexit Secretary @DavidDavisMP will threaten to resign if the PM gives in to the Tory rebels and accepts the UK cannot crash out of the EU with no deal unless Parliament approves it #EUWithdrawalBill