My #brexitforensics story: Government will tell EU it wishes to stay in the aviation safety agency EASA - which operates within at least indirect jurisdiction of the European Court of Justice news.sky.com/story/govt-to-…
EASA #brexitforensics thread:
UK will “offer” to remain within EASA, Government calculates that 40% of its technical expertise comes from UK Civil Aviation Authority
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Source: “It is part of the second phase negotiating process, but it would be bizarre if we couldn’t be part of it. Plenty of countries outside of EU are in EASA”
Ref to Norway, Iceland, Switzerland etc
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Article 66 of EASA regulations provide legal route for third party participation, but Norway and Switzerland have a Joint Committee that maintains European Court of Justice jurisdiction, albeit indirectly
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Does this break the PM’s red line on ECJ jurisdiction? Depends how you define direct - if it is defined like this then it does open up a model of “quasi-direct” jurisdiction that could stretch in an extreme to EEA
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The US Federal Aviation Authority has been pressing the UK to settle the EASA question “within weeks” at might yet require reinspection of all UK aviation safety/maintenance, as have airlines
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Smaller airports are concerned that they are already seeing a reallocation of investment in routes away from UK, eg London City new chief Robert Sinclair said: “consequences on No Deal v v significant”
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Sky News also understands that Government and industry have prepared a backstop contingency involving a late exchange of letters on Brexit eve to enable legal flight should Brexit talks fail, and UK falls out of EU arrangements
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Industry & EU does not believe as some MPs have argued that UK can simply fall back on to decades old bilateral flying deals signed by UK pre-EEC: Eg City Airport: “some very old bilateral arrangements in insufficient to provide for the level of demand, capacity we see now”
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There is no WTO fall back for aviation either, and there are also question marks about the validity of insurance contracts for leased aircraft - that might be what the exchange of letters helps mitigate
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Ultimately aviation is an area where mutual interest in getting a deal is clear, but it still needs to be done, and time is running out. European side points out “1/2 flights departing UK go to EU, 1/10 from EU go to UK”
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Lastly - at a Commission presentation as part of the EU27 future trade preps, EU suggested that UK red lines mean that it can not participate in EASA - reported by FT @alexebarker here: ft.com/content/e76746…
And if you joined the thread late or in the middle - here is the full story again - full Video including me timing my piece to camera to various planes taking off, coming up #brexitforensics news.sky.com/story/govt-to-…
#brexitforensics Aviation
UK “offers” to stay part of EU aviation body under indirect ECJ jurisdiction, prepares Brexit Eve exchange of letters with airlines if negotiations fail. My Video Report
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NEW: First Minister of Scotland @NicolaSturgeon tells me at SNP conference “it would be my position “that Northern Ireland backstop on single market being negotiated right now should also apply to Scotland
The First Minister tells me she is “not going to stand in the way of NI having a solution to its issues” but that a NIO-only backstop raises “profound concerns on my part” for the competitiveness of Scotland and losing investment to Northern Ireland
I suggested to FM that surely that would imply checks on the England-Scotland border...
She said “I don’t want checks ... lets wait and see how this all plays out”
The border checks acknowledged by @simoncoveney to @SophyRidgeSky are east-west GB->N Ireland ones on food/farm produce, not North-South ones. not sure how much further that gets us, when senior DUP sources have said they would not accept any increase in what is checked...
salient fact here: offer indicated by PM amid her demand for “respect” after Salzburg was such extra NI checks/ regulatory alignment with Ireland could only be contemplated if approved for NI by Stormont - as of last week had been rejected by EU/IE, & DUP said wd veto there
nothing on paper yet though, and there is of course, no NI Assembly to reject anything...
There is some potential wriggle room, however, for example, if any further east-West checks required, could be one way ie not west-east, enabling NI produce free access to U.K. AND EU
Ministers are well aware of this case, I’ve been told that its significance may be being underplayed, I had been told that the Government would seek to appeal the Court of Session’s reference to the ECJ, but apparently didn’t, or haven’t at the most appropriate opp this week...
This is the actual reference from Scotland’s highest court directly to the European Court of Justice asking for a clarification on whether EU Law (ie Article 50) allows for unilateral revocation dropbox.com/s/3sq5dvjh8ruc… via one of the petitioners @JolyonMaugham
It could have got rather interesting constitutionally if the UK Gov had asked the Supreme Court to overrule Scotland’s highest court asking the EU Court whether a UK Govt had theoretical option to revoke A50 without negotiation, options it says it does not want.
Johnson calls the PM’s Chequers proposals
“Not pragmatic not a compromise.. this is not democracy, not what we voted for... it is a constitutional outrage” to cheers...
Says to fudge it now and fix it later “is a total fantasy”
“Chequers will only embolden those calling for a second referendum” says Johnson...