1/ WHY YOU SHOULDN'T BE AFRAID OF A BEAR MARKET FOR #BITCOIN : Looking at the big picture for $BTCUSD in a log chart, it seems that this correction for $BTC is completely normal. We may even go as low as $3k, but if you zoom out, this will allow us to bounce off that trendline
2/ and thus draw our next impulse wave (3) which can push price as high as $100k. Media will talk about it way more than in 2017 and we will have a general adoption by the public (thanks to #LightningNetwork ?). Another big correction will occur (wave 4) and we will buy -
3/ again - in the 78.6%/88.6% fibonacci retracement while mass media will tell us that #Bitcoin is dead (again ?). And we will probably have our "final" 5th wave which could drive us above 1 million $ per $BTC.
4/ You will hear the "best" analysts tell you that we are entering a new paradigm, that #Bitcoin is different from other assets. The only thing that is different is its potential over the long run, but in the end $BTC has to go through those bear markets in order to rise again
5/ This chart is inspired by the famous market cycle. We can find a lot of similarities that I highlighted in my chart. We are now in the Awareness phase, with big banks investing in #bitcoin. This created a bear trap that we are in, nobody can call the bottom
6/ but history showed we always retrace into the buy zone (green box). If you got into $btc because you expected it to x20 in a year, it's exactly the reason why #bitcoin will enter a bear market. A bubble explodes when newcomers enter ONLY bc they hope to sell at a higher price
7/ But I'm not worried at all, $btc, as a disruptive technology, will go higher. And thus create the biggest financial bubble in the history. @parabolictrav I guess your haters didn't expect that parabolic trend ?
Note: All data is my personal opinion and is a POSSIBLE outcome
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1/ #BITCOIN ON THE SAME ROAD AS THE #DOTCOM BUBBLE ? If you look at #Nasdaq's price, you're able to find similar patterns. Internet began in 1990 but the Internet bubble really started in 1995. Similarly, $BTC was created in 2009 but price acceleration occurred in 2016
2/ At the end of the Awareness Phase, both had events that will allow global adoption : Google and WiFi for the Internet, #LightningNetwork for #Bitcoin. These events may be considered as the catalysts pushing #Nasdaq & $BTC into Mania Phase
3/ They both ended the Awareness Phase with the classic sell off b4 the Mania Phase, holding the logarithmic support. Finally, #Nasdaq almost x4 in only 1yr 1/2. #Bitcoin seems to go twice as fast as the Dotcom Bubble so we can expect the Mania Phase to take place in 2018