THREAD: What is the #JanusvAFSCME case, which the Supreme Court heard yesterday, about? What is the expected result and the aftermath?
1/ In #JanusvAFSCME, the Supreme Court is considering whether to overturn a prior case that allowed public sector unions to establish “agency shop” arrangements with their government employers, which require the union to represent the interests of all employees.
2/ The arrangement requires unions to represent non-union employees. It also requires non-union employees to pay a "fair share" fee so they don't free ride on the efforts of the union, which are primarily funded through member dues.
3/ The crux of the argument against the arrangement is that non-union employees are forced to "speak" (via paying the fee) and support a union that has views they disagree with. The Supreme Court rejected this First Amendment argument back in 1977.
3/ In 2016, the Supreme Court once again considered this precise issue and split 4-4. At the time, one Supreme Court seat was vacant because Congress refused to consider Obama's selection of Merrick Garland. Yesterday the issue was heard again, with Gorsuch as the deciding vote.
4/ He was silent yesterday, but most analysts predict that Gorsuch will side with the conservatives and strike down the "agency shop" arrangements. Gorsuch has a reputation as an extremely conservative jurist. (A decision should come out later this year.)
5/ This suit was initiated by Illinois's Republican Governor, who has also championed "right to work" laws that weaken unions. In many states, unions have been the target of attacks by Republicans, in part because unions tend to support Democratic candidates.
6/ Many people have proposed plans to respond to the expected result in #JanusvAFSCME. I've looked at many of them and the best result for workers, in my opinion, would result if we replaced the agency shop arrangements with "direct payment" alternatives.
7/ Under direct payment, governmental employers would pay collective
bargaining fees directly to unions, rather than withholding “fair share” dues from employees’ paychecks. This eliminates the First Amendment concern because the government would be the one speaking.
8/ A direct payment system would also lower taxes for workers. Currently the “fair share fees" are counted as income and are subject to payroll taxes and income taxes. A direct payment wouldn't be taxed, which would mean more money in the pockets of workers.
9/ Tomorrow I'll propose this solution as part of my "Blueprint for Resistance," which explains the steps I'll take to resist Trump when I'm elected Illinois Attorney General. In the meantime, check out our website to learn more about the campaign: renatomariotti.com#twill
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1/ This is a political statement by a lawyer representing Senate Republicans, not a prosecutorial statement.
Last week’s hearing was structured in a manner to make it difficult to arrive at the truth. Only two witnesses were called, each questioner was given five minutes, etc.
2/ No law enforcement official (prosecutor, FBI agent, etc.) would conduct an investigation in the very limited manner done by the Senate Committee.
It is also worth remembering that Mitchell was hired by Senate Republicans and has a duty to advocate their positions.
3/ So despite her trying to make it seem that she is offering a neutral assessment, it is not—she does not discuss, for example, evidence that supports Ford’s account.
In any event, the Senate hearing (or the vote to confirm a Supreme Court Justice) is not a criminal trial.
1/ Because it’s now relevant, I’ll expand on a point I made on today’s #OnTopic podcast—a very plausible reason why Republicans don’t want to subpoena Mark Judge is because he could take the Fifth.
Now that there will be a FBI investigation, Judge could refuse to be interviewed.
2/ If Judge does refuse to be interviewed, that would be noted in the FBI report memorializing his interview or would otherwise be noted in the investigative file.
The Senate could still subpoena him (if Republicans vote to do so) but he could take the Fifth if they do.
3/ Because an obvious implication of a refusal to be interviewed is that Judge is concerned about incriminating himself, his attorney likely will give an alternate reason (or no reason) for refusing the interview. It would be up to the Senate Judiciary Committee to follow up.
1/ We learned about Ford and Kavanaugh today by observing their demeanor, but the structure of the hearing made it hard to get at the truth. We learned from this hearing *despite* the format, not because of it.
A real trial or evidentiary hearing would have been very different.
2/ If an experienced trial lawyer had hours to cross-examine Kavanaugh, they would have been able to pin him down. At times, Senators elicited testimony that was not credible (like his answer about “Renate Alumni”) but couldn’t follow up before he ran out the clock.
3/ Without strict time limits, a lawyer could have walked Kavanaugh through all of the entries in his calendar, as the Republican prosecutor started to do before she was cut off. The lawyer also could have walked through the allegations of the other two women who came forward.
1/ Tesla CEO @elonmusk is reportedly under criminal investigation for his tweet stating that Tesla was going private at $420 a share.
This is bad news for Musk and Tesla. DOJ wouldn’t get involved if they didn’t think they could conceivably make a case. bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
2/ The SEC is already conducting a civil investigation and the likely result remains civil penalties, which could involve Musk being barred from serving as an officer or director of a public company. The DOJ has a higher burden of proof that is harder to meet.
3/ To make a case against Musk, the DOJ would have to prove beyond a reasonable doubt that Musk knowingly made a false statement with the intent to defraud. If there was no plan to take Tesla private at the $420 price, his statement could materially inflate Tesla’s stock price.
1/ Giuliani told @washingtonpost that "Trump and Manafort continue to have a joint defense agreement" making it "impossible for Manafort's cooperation with Mueller's office to imperial the president."
2/ Joint defense agreements are agreements between defense teams that are make it easier for them to maintain privilege when the lawyers communicate with each other under what's called "common interest" doctrine.
3/ The idea is when two people are on the same side in an investigation or litigation, their lawyers should be able to communicate about strategy without losing privilege. It's an exception to the general rule--typically communications between opposing counsel aren't privileged.
THREAD: Can Manafort tell Mueller about the communications between his team and Trump's team under their joint defense agreement?
1/ Earlier this week, Giuliani confirmed that Trump's legal team had a joint defense agreement with Manafort's team. The purpose of these agreements is to ensure that communications between the attorneys remains privileged under something called the "common interest" doctrine.
2/ Joint defense agreements (JDAs) are common in all sorts of criminal cases involving multiple defendants, as well as criminal investigations involving multiple different people who are under investigation.