1. Draft treaty from Brussels will ruffle feathers today, no doubt about that - crucial to see whether EU has actually dropped the language that fudged it in December
2. DUP are scheduled to have two questions at #PMQs today so May v likely to have to respond BUT.....
3. Govt expected to dismiss today’s draft as being just that and Brexiteers have been given private assurances that govt position hasn’t and won’t change - and about speech on Friday
4. Worth noting ERG Brexiteer meeting had record turnout last night including visits from Steve Baker and Michael Gove, I’m told, who just happened to pop by
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
2. Mood of conference has not been of fomenting plots against the PM, but it's absolutely the case that there are plenty of people here who don't see her staying to the next election, including Cabinet ministers
3. That's why some people suggesting speech today could be her swansong, but the timing and manner of departure will be so shaped by how Brexit turns out, and her colleagues have underestimated her so many times
1. Meeting just getting underway to decide the wording of the Brexit motion that will be voted on at Labour compromise - seems v unlikely now that it will be a definitive yes to push for another referendum
2. More likely to be a vagueish compromise promising a possiblity of a vote under certain conditions - party leadership is conceding a marginal move, rather than a dramatic policy change - one shadow cabinet minister told me it was 'not realistic to hope for the Fairy Godmother'
3. But some in room pushing very, very hard for more categoric commitment - let's see where it ends up #labconf18
1. Here's how some sources suggesting this unfolded - Tusk had genuinely planned to say nice things about Chequers, and certainly not to reject the plan in the way that he did today
2. But leaders were upset about what was described as 'aggressive' op-ed published yday in German papers, and by her address last night when said there was just no way she could accept their plan and showed no sign of compromise
3. That seems to be why leaders pushed back, and it made Tusk think again about what he was going to say... some on continent wondering why May approached it as she did
1. More detail here on how Barnier trying to make EU version of backstop more palatable to UK from @tconnellyRTErte.ie/amp/994656/
2. But no way UK can accept it at this stage - there is genuine clash of principle - EU version of insurance policy for Ireland puts barriers, however light touch, between NI and rest of the UK - UK govt finds that unacceptable, says has to be same for the whole country
3. Not likely that anyone will change their mind about that in next 48 hours at meeting here in Austria - this summit is more about showing willing
Long awaited - report that will help set govt immigration policy after Brexit - see for yourself here gov.uk/government/pub…
Loads in it, but main relevant political headline is that after we leave EU it shouldn’t be any easier for anyone from Europe to come to UK than from anywhere else in the world
That view will find lots of friends in high places (the Home Secretary for example and maybe the former one too but.....
1. Sources from Eurosceptic ERG meeting tonight say question of when and how May could be forced out of Number 10 was discussed - remember many members of group, including senior members adamant that is not their goal, but.....
2. Unhappiness over Chequers and Number 10's handling is spreading frustration among group that was already unhappy - even if their rehearsal of their arguments is much derided, they have power of numbers in Commons and potentially to trigger leadership contest
3. What they are not likely to do of course, is trigger any contest before they could be sure a candidate they'd back could win -but there was a lot of discussion tonight about the mechanics of how and when they might engineer that kind of crisis in a room full of roughly 50 MPs