Thread by @mikefarb1

#unhackthevote

Cambridge Analytica

Fake News

Bots

and the Swing States

You need to see these numbers!!

We didn't have a chance!!

Thread

Obviously there was an all out effort to manipulate who voted during the 2016 Election.

We were besieged with Fake News, Bots, Data Mining and Micro Targeted Ads

Wherever we turned we got Fake news

Whether it was TV, You Tube, our Social Media accounts or the Trump Campaign.

Cambridge Analytica had profiles of 50 Million US Citizens with up to 5,000 data points on each.

They ran targeted ads on Facebook.

They used Twitter to analyze sentiment data looking at responses to Keywords.

We know it had an affect.

Lets look at some numbers.

Since this election was won in the Swing States and Margin of victory is all that matters lets start there.

Lets talk about Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin.

In Pennsylvania Trump won by 44,292 votes

In Michigan Trump won by 10,704 votes

In Wisconsin Trump won by 22,748 votes

We need to understand one of the problems we have when analyzing the possibility of a changing of our vote it only takes a very small change in numbers happening in many places to alter an election.

Lets start in Michigan

Michigan has approximately

5001 precincts

949 voters per precinct

83 counties

57,180 voters per county

These are large states with a large amount of counties and a huge amount of precincts.

If a relatively small number of events happened at a precinct level, an amount that would on its own draw no attention to itself the actual result of these small events when looked at on a County or State Level becomes quite concerning.

Lets start with a what if.

What if all of the factors working against us Targeted at Clinton Voters had the affect of convincing only 10 Clinton Voters per precinct to decide not to cast a ballot.

A number that would not particularly draw much attention to itself.

Lets also say that since a Vote that is flipped actually counts as two votes any would be Clinton voter that switched to Trump would create a 2 for 1 difference.

In this case merely 4 Clinton Voters staying home and 3 Clinton Votes switching to Trump would make up the 10 vote difference per precinct.

How would that have affected the total results in Michigan?

This is where it gets nuts

If 10 Voters per precinct either didn’t vote for Clinton or 4 didn’t vote and 3 flipped

That would have been 10 x 5001 precincts for a total of 50,010 Votes!!

A 50,010 Vote difference!!

The State was won by a mere 10,704 Votes

That would have made Clinton the winner by a margin of 39,396!!

Lets make it even crazier.

In Michigan if only 3 Clinton Voters per precinct decided not to cast a ballot. Only 3!!

Clinton would have lost 3 Votes X 5001 Precincts or 15,003 Votes

Enough to have won the State by 5002 Votes!!

If Only One Clinton Voter Per Precinct decided not to cast a ballot and one Clinton Voter per Precinct switched to Trump Clinton would have lost the same amount of votes 15,003.

Lets not forget that with all of this Detroit a hugely Democratic population had 87 broken voting machines and 75,000 uncounted ballots.

Do you think that with the news and data assault against us that it didn’t have the affect of changing the minds of 3 voters per precinct?

Who really won Michigan?

Lets go to Pennsylvania

Pennsylvania has approximately

9092 precincts

667 voters per precinct

67 counties

90, 513 voters per county

Lets keep everything the same.

If 10 Voters either didn’t vote for Clinton or 4 didn’t vote and 3 flipped

That would have been 10 x 9092 precincts for a total of 90,920 Votes!!

A 90,920 Vote difference!!

The State was won by a mere 44,292 Votes

That would have made Clinton the winner by a margin of 46,628!!

And now check this out.

In Pennsylvania if only 5 Clinton Voters per precinct decided not to cast a ballot. Only 5!!

Clinton would have lost 5 Votes X 9092 Precincts or 45,460 Votes

Enough to have won the State by 1232 Votes!!

If Only Two Clinton Voters Per Precinct decided not to cast a ballot and Two Clinton Voters per Precinct switched to Trump Clinton would have lost 54,552 Votes!!

Enough to have won Pennsylvania by 9,092 Votes!!

Do you think that with the news and data assault against us that it didn’t have the affect of changing the minds of 5 voters per precinct?

Who really won Pennsylvania?

Last up is Wisconsin

Wisconsin has approximately

3627 precincts

797 voters per precinct

72 counties

40,149 voters per county

If 10 Voters per precinct decided not to vote for Clinton or 4 didn’t vote and 3 flipped

That would have been 10 x 3627 precincts for a total of 36,270 Votes!!

The State was won by a mere 22,848 Votes

That would have made Clinton the winner by a margin of 13,422!!

And now check this out.

In Wisconsin if only 7 Clinton Voters per precinct decided not to cast a ballot. Only7!!

Or if only Two Clinton Voters didn’t vote and Two Clinton Voters flipped to Trump

Clinton would have lost 7 Votes X 3627 Precincts or 25,389 Votes

Enough to have won the State by 1232 Votes!!

If Only Three Clinton Voters Per Precinct decided not to cast a ballot and Two Clinton Voters per Precinct switched to Trump Clinton would have lost 25,389 Votes!!

Enough to have won Wisconsin by 2,541 Votes!!

Do you think that with the news and data assault against us that it didn’t have the affect of changing the minds of 7 voters per precinct?

Who really won Wisconsin?

We were attacked. From all sides non stop. As shown above the affect even looking at very small numbers has an overwhelming total affect.

In these Three Swing States if no more than Seven Clinton Voters per precinct decided not to vote or Three Decided not to Vote and Two flipped to Trump, Hillary Clinton would be the President.

What do you think?