Thread by @PWGTennant

Waiting to hear the results of the @ucu #USSballot

#USSvote #USSstrike

In #USSballot, I predict an equivocal result. Neither a robust rejection, nor an unqualified acceptance. Somewhere between 60/40 and 40/60. Maybe even 52/48. 🙄

For those interested, here's the preference in the respondents to the #USSvote survey...

#USSstrike @leedsucu

Once the results come out, I can re-weight these to be more accurate. But some interesting trends are apparent in terms of predictors of #USSballot preference

Look at the differences by Twitter use and awareness of #USSbriefs!

#USSstrikes #USSvote

Most interesting result of #USSvote survey (& main reason for commissioning):

Those favouring 'accept' vs those favouring 'reject' are POLES apart in the which factors they consider most important. Useful for future discussions!

#USSstrike #USSballot @leedsucu @UCL_UCU

Confidence that - if accepted - UUK proposal will resolve threat of further strikes over next 2 years. Big differences again between those favouring 'accept' & 'reject'... Whatever the result, this doesn't look 'over'!

#USSstrike #USSballot #USSvote @leedsucu @UCL_UCU

Perceptions of how this offer will impact on finances in retirement. again, big differences between those favouring 'accept' & 'reject' , but all expecting we'll be worse off then we are currently!

#USSstrike #USSballot #USSvote @leedsucu @UCL_UCU

I'm planning to write this up after the poll results are announced, to add to reflections on the results. But things are a bit squeezed for me at the moment, with some tight deadlines & a whole load of pressure! 😟

#USSstrike #USSballot #USSvote @leedsucu @UCL_UCU

One area of agreement - neither those favouring 'accept' or those favouring 'reject' trust @universitiesUK. Whatever the result, they have a LOT of work do rebuilding trust!

#USSstrike #USSballot #USSvote @leedsucu @UCL_UCU

But people aren't especially satisfied with the @UCU national leadership, particularly those favouring 'reject' (who presumably believe most strongly that this ballot should never have happened)!

#USSstrike #USSballot #USSvote @leedsucu @UCL_UCU

In contrast, local @UCU reps are considered 'heroes'! There's obviously some variation between institutions, but generally HUGE satisfaction from both 'accept' and 'reject' supporters. The importance of the 'grass roots'!

#USSstrike #USSballot #USSvote @leedsucu @UCL_UCU