Adnan Tabatabai Profile picture
May 22, 2018 14 tweets 11 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
(1) In my latest, I discuss how #Europe could be able to keep #Iran in the deal, and the #JCPOA alive.…
(2) #Europe must reject notion pushed by #Washington and its allies that being pro-JCPOA means being pro-Iran. Also, #Europe must reject narrative suggesting it puts wedge in transatlantic relations by trying to safeguard JCPOA.
(3) #Iran can be kept in the deal if its economic, political and security dividend makes it conclude it’s better off with the deal. While economic dividend is part of #JCPOA terms, and the other two aren’t, they will play a role in current situation.
(4) #Iran chose 3-step approach through #JCPOA to improve relations with West, #Europe in particular: institutionalization, desecuritization and normalization.
(5) Institutionalization: By processing delicate issue (nuclear file) through institutions: UN, EU, IAEA, UNSC, Joint Commission, #JCPOA as document manifesting agreement. Attempt to prevent unilateralism - this may in the end save the agreement.
(6) Desecuritization: Developing routine, ending taboos by accepting robust inspections, addressing all relevant nuclear-related issues in Joint Commission, and in bilaterals with signatories of agreement.
(7) Normalization: Winning trust, being willing to broaden topics to address issues beyond nuclear file. #Iran said multiple times it would be ready to broaden talks if #JCPOA positive experience. This hope certainly killed with #US violation/withdrawal.
(8) Normalization, in particular, is what #Trump admin, #KSA, #UAE and #Israel have tried to prevent. While understandable it is extremely short-sighted. The alternative is known to all.
(9) #Europe has no ocean between its mainland and #MiddleEast. Regional security directly tied to #Europe|ean security. Therefore, keeping this non-proliferation regime intact is of utmost importance.
(10) #Europe needs to keep/increase leverage in #MiddleEast as regional turmoil affects #Europe directly. Functional ties to regional actors - with #Iran being one of them - are essential for #Europe.
(11) #Europe should not only be seen as actor that initiated and coordinated the nuclear talks and the finalization of the #JCPOA. It should also be the one actor in the lead of safeguarding it.
(12) For this to be achieved, #Europe must get its act together (no longer act like headless chicken), coordinate with #Russia & #China and push #Iran to outline in detail what dividend for it to stay on deal must look like. /END
Article now also posted on @LobeLog

"What it will take to keep the #Iran deal alive"…

#Iran #JCPOA #US #Trump #EU #Europe

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More from @A_Tabatabai

Dec 29, 2017
A thread with some thoughts on current cycle of protests in #Iran! (1/10)
The protests are driven by socioeconomic grievances, not political aspiration. One should do the protesters justice by not reading anything bigger into them – at least, not for now. (2/10)
Street protests are not really new under Rouhani’s presidency. Peaceful sit-ins, strikes & gatherings in front of ministries & state institutions have happened regularly in various parts of the country, as people continue to have unresolved/unaddressed economic grievances. (3/10)
Read 10 tweets

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