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Holy crap. The new Sabato Crystal Ball House ratings change is...big.

This is the first time the Crystal Ball has given Democrats better than 50/50 odds of taking the House. And there is a LOT to unpack here.

centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/ar…
Here are Sabato's topline changes.

5 races are no longer Safe R: #IA04, #IN02, #IN09, #PA16, #TX31

3 races shift from Likely R to Lean R: #AR02, #FL16, #NM02

9 more R seats are now Tossups: #IA03, #IL06, #KY06, #MI08, #OH01, #OH12, #TX07, #WV03

And #FL13 is now Safe D.
Here are a few takeaways:

-White nationalist Rep. Steve King has a credible challenge
-IN and WV have competitive House races (and the extra attention from Ds could help their senators here)
-#OH12 special is REALLY close
-Dem women vets (McGrath, Hegar) are kicking ass.
Read 3 tweets
THREAD

Q2 Fundraising is over, and Democrats did a great job!

But I was chatting with @ybbkaren and an interesting question came up:

With SO MANY great candidates, how do we decide who needs donations the most? Many are worthy, but our personal funds are not unlimited.
So I came up with an idea for my own list of Dems who need $$$ based upon the following criteria:

*They have won their primary
*They are trying to flip “swing” GOP-held seats (per @CookPolitical ratings)
*They are behind their GOP opponents in “Cash on Hand” (per @OpenSecretsDC)
That’s not to say that other Democrats in swing districts are not worthy. They are. But the following, from a strategic $$$ perspective, might be the best place to donate *for now*.

This is the list of those House candidates, and their donation links, based on that criteria:
Read 27 tweets
🚨 Please share broadly! As usual, the Kochs are dumping tons of money into GOP candidates...especially into *critical swing districts* we need to flip.

I've threaded links below to the Democratic challengers in these races. Please RT and support them! /1
truth-out.org/news/item/4458…
I focused the list of NOMINEES. These are Democrats in swing districts who have already won their primaries and are facing off against Koch-infused Republicans in fall.
#IL06
GOP Koch Candidate: Peter Roskam
Dem Challenger: Sean Casten @SeanCasten
castenforcongress.com
Read 33 tweets
Hey #Pennsylvania!
Here’s All the Democratic Candidates (#Primary Winners) for #Midterms2018!
With website & voter info links! Includes info on New vs Old Districts.
#PA01 #PA02 #PA03 #PA04 #PA05 #PA06 #PA07 #PA08 #PA09 #PA10 #PA11 #PA12 #PA13 #PA14 #PA15 #PA16 #PA17 #PA18
VOTER REGISTRATION in Pennsylvania
VOTE NOVEMBER 6, 2018 #Midterms2018
Register by Oct 6 here: pavoterservices.pa.gov/Pages/VoterReg…
Check Registration here: pavoterservices.pa.gov/Pages/VoterReg…
Find where you Vote here: pavoterservices.pa.gov/Pages/PollingP…
#BlueWavePA
Hey #Pennsylvania!
Here’s All the Democratic Candidates (#Primary Winners) for #Midterms2018!
With website & voter info links! Includes info on New vs Old Districts.
#PA01 #PA02 #PA03 #PA04 #PA05 #PA06 #PA07 #PA08 #PA09 #PA10 #PA11 #PA12 #PA13 #PA14 #PA15 #PA16 #PA17 #PA18
Read 31 tweets
Hey #Pennsylvania you get to vote in Primaries on MAY 15, 2018
For Congress & Lt. Gov
THREAD of ALL Democratic Candidates below.
#PA01 #PA02 #PA03 #PA04 #PA05 #PA06 #PA07 #PA08 #PA09 #PA10 #PA11 #PA12 #PA13 #PA14 #PA15 #PA16 #PA17 #PA18
Voter Registration Deadline Apr 16, 2018
Pennsylvania Primary Election MAY 15, 2018
Registration Deadline Apr 16, 2018
Register here: pavoterservices.pa.gov/Pages/VoterReg…
Check Registration here: pavoterservices.pa.gov/Pages/VoterReg…
Find where you Vote here: pavoterservices.pa.gov/Pages/PollingP…
#Pennsylvania Redrawn District Maps #PADistricts
#NOMoreIncumbents
What is Where Now?
THREAD
Be sure & utilize this newfound fairness and VOTE!
Register here: pavoterservices.pa.gov/Pages/VoterReg…
Form for Absentee here: votespa.com/en-us/Document…
Next Election: Primaries May 15, 2018
Read 27 tweets

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