There have been claims already of Russian bots interfering in the Mexican election.
Most of the scans we've run haven't shown anything of the sort.
Always important to remember: not all bots are Russian. And even genuine Russian bots aren't always there for interference.
But then you come across retweets of stuff like this: a post from the Mexican Green Party.
By Петр Смирнов and Игорь, apparently.
Петр looks weirdly like Kris Allen. Odd, that.
And his username is an alphanumeric scramble. All looks a bit dodgy, really.
Meanwhile, Игорь has a really wide range of interests and languages. Japanese, Arabic, Russian and Spanish... and all of them retweets.
At its peak, the Green Party tweet had 697 retweets. An awful lot of them came from accounts with Cyrillic usernames.
Some of them gave locations in Russia or elsewhere in the former USSR, too.
That said, a lot claimed locations in Venezuela, too. They were clearly part of the same network, because they posted identical retweets.
But they posted Russian-language ads (not retweets) for local services in the former USSR: Clenbuterol in Ukraine, property in Russia, jobs in Belarus.
For a Venezuelan bot, that would be an odd market choice. Looks more like a Russian-language bot assuming a Venezuelan ID.
Main thing: this looks like a commercial botnet. The range of languages and subjects is too wide, and the political posts are too interspersed with other stuff.
Not an influence operation.
But we can expect to see more and more crossover between commercial and political bot use.
This was a Russian, apparently commercial, botnet which got switched to German politics just before the election there:
#OPCW hacking case: we've already had the Russian government trying to dismiss the latest UK / NL claims about the #GRU. That's tactic number 1.
Up next, expect attempts to distort, distract and dismay.
Distort. We saw this with the Skripal suspects, portrayed as "civilians" and snow-shy tourists.
Expect attempts to say that the photos were faked, the evidence was made up, and / or the men were harmless visitors on a diplomatic visit to fix the Embassy wifi.
Distract. Accuse the accusers.
Expect the arguments, "The West hacks people too," or "You killed civilians in Libya / Afghanistan / Vietnam / insert name here."
Which doesn't justify use of CW on civilians, or attempts to cover it up.
Looks like someone tried to get hashtag SkripalHoax to trend overnight.
822 mentions. It really didn't do very well.
Let's look at some of the arguments.
Probably the most popular in the pro-Kremlin crowd was the claim that the Met Police photos of the arrival in Gatwick had the same timestamp, and therefore must have been photoshopped.
... unless there's more than one arrival channel at Gatwick, and they were walking together.