BudgIT Nigeria Profile picture
May 29, 2018 14 tweets 8 min read Read on X
THREAD: Here is the review of the performance of the current administration of @NGRPresident @MBuhari. We present few charts to show the economic directions, with recent growth less than 2%.

#DemocracyDay
From June 2015 to December 2017, FG has spent N13.23tn, with only 12% (N1.58tn) going to capital expenditure. Source: CBN
#DemocracyDay
FG has spent more on recurrent expenditure than revenue collected. This is shows that contrary to the Fiscal Responsibility Act, FG is borrowing to fund recurrent expenditure.
#DemocracyDay
The rate of inflation is going down after a peak of 18.72% in January 2017. Inflation has slowed down to 12.48%.
#DemocracyDay
Food inflation is not seeing the same change as recent rates still hold firm at 18.89%. Why is the price of food rising at double-digit in Nigeria?
#DemocracyDay
Nigeria needs to worry on its size of debt servicing as it reaches over 35% of public revenues. N2.2tn is budgeted to service debts in 2018.
#DemocracyDay
There are more people out of job in Nigeria in the current administration. This administration economic policies has doubled the rate of unemployment in Nigeria. We need to ask questions.
#DemocracyDay
Capital importation numbers are rising. From the poor numbers of 2017, Nigeria sees a rise in inflows of foreign currency by investors and lenders. What is powering this? See next tweet.

*Charts not drawn to general scale.
#DemocracyDay
Portfolio Investments have been the driver of investments in Nigeria. Since Q3 2017, there has been an inflow of “hot money” into Nigeria.

*Charts not drawn to general scale.
#DemocracyDay
However, Nigeria still performs low in sticky foreign direct investments that can transform the economy on the long term. After the rapid rise of Q3 2015, what can Nigeria do to be an investment destination?

*Charts not drawn to general scale.
#DemocracyDay
Domestic debts are rising as FG has added N4tn to the internally-sourced debt. External debts have also increased from $10.3bn in June 2015 to $18.9bn as at December 2017. This puts the total debt addition at N6.6tn as at December 2017.

#DemocracyDay
The stock market has been a magnet for portfolio investors due to its strong performance after a slump in 2016.
#DemocracyDay
Parallel markets exchange rates have stood at N363 to 1 USD, after a spike to N429.4/$ in March 2017. The Central Bank still quotes N305 as its exchange rates.
#DemocracyDay
Finally, the external reserves have risen from the ashes of $26.3bn as at end of 2016 to $47.75bn as at May 21, 2018.
#DemocracyDay

What's your take in terms of the performance of the economy?

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More from @BudgITng

Sep 20, 2018
THREAD: Friends, ahead of @EiENigeria and partners debate with Osun Guber candidates, let's have a quick review of Osun State Finances.

You will notice that Osun State receipts from FAAC has dwindled. From a Net FAAC Allocation of N46bn in 2013 to N10.4bn in 2017. #OsunDecides
Oil prices started falling in 2014, a big challenge for Osun State has been its accumulation of debt not linked to growth in internal revenues. Total Debt Stock moved from N51bn in 2013 to N167bn as at 2017. #OsunDecides
The big challenge for Osun State is the direct DEDUCTIONS by CBN before it earns FAAC allocation.

According to BudgIT Research, Osun gross allocation between 2015 and 2017 is meant to N109bn. However, N73bn was deducted leaving the state to receive on N36.5bn. #OsunDecides
Read 10 tweets
Sep 19, 2018
Extracts from the 2018 State of States Reports!

THREAD!!!

This is how your state generated its IGR in 2017! Its Obvious Lagos State is the Elephant in the room.

#StateOfStates2018
#AskQuestions
This is what your state is owing when it comes to DOMESTIC DEBT. Well, Its obvious Lagos state is also taking the LEAD.

#StateOfStates2018
#AskQuestions
This is the details of what your state makes from your VALUE ADDED TAX. Nassarawa State has the lowest.

#StateOfStates2018
#AskQuestions
Read 8 tweets
Aug 8, 2018
#Thread

NNPC claims it lost N111.42 billion worth of crude oil and products in its custody between 2015 - 2017. This is separate from the N427 billion it claimed as financial losses incurred at its corporate headquarters alone, CHQ within the same period.

#FixOurOil
NNPC paid N450 billion as subsidy to oil marketers without approval of the National Assembly. As a result, PMS 'consumed' JUMPED from 24.1m litres/day to a peak of 52.7m liters/day in March 2017. The extra, cheap fuel is sent out for sale neighbouring countries.

#FixOurOil
NNPC deducted N427 billion from Nigeria's crude oil revenue - without approval of the National Assembly @nassnigeria - to cover 'financial losses' at its corporate headquarters, CHQ alone between 2015 - 2017.

This is more than the 2018 budget for Health of N356bn.

#FixOurOil
Read 8 tweets
Jun 13, 2018
Join us at 12:00 pm as we discuss the Petroleum Industry Administration Bill @NRGInstitute @OSIWA1 #FixOurOil
What is the Bill meant to do? #FixOurOil
What is the objective of the PIAB? What is it meant to achieve? #FixOurOil
Read 27 tweets

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