Whenever I express my market views publicly, I find it even more difficult to change them when the actual market circumstances change. However good I try but my ego gets involved with my views so I think it is better to try to express data than opinion. #My2Cents #Trading
In most circumstances consistency is valued and adaptive. Inconsistency is commonly thought to be an undesirable personality trait. The person whose beliefs, words, and deeds don’t match may be seen as indecisive, confused, two-faced, or even mentally ill.
From - Influence
While in other walks of life consistency is desirable and respected, in markets we all know that traders need to adapt quickly according to changing markets. But we often see how traders are trolled for this adaptation i.e. changing their market views.
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1. Selling options randomly may result in about 80 percent winners, but one or two in the 20 percent of losers could end up with substantial losses.
2. properly managed option writing portfolio should allow its owner to sleep well at night, should be low maintenance, and should be predominantly absent of heart-pounding, gut-wrenching decisions.
1 Just because an
option has high volatility does
not mean that it is a good option
to sell. And just because an
option has low volatility, it
does not mean that it is a poor
option to sell.
2 Unless you love
to gamble, buying options is a losing proposition.
1 It is estimated that anywhere from 75 to 80 percent of all
options held through expiration will indeed expire worthless.
Furthermore, it is estimated that only 10 percent or less of all options
will ever be exercised.
2 "Option selling has unlimited
risk” is all that most investors know about the concept. The term
unlimited risk is enough to cause most investors to cross it off their list
of potential investment strategies without further exploration.
1 Skin in the Game is about four topics in one: a) uncertainty and the reliability of knowledge (both practical and scientific, assuming there is a difference), or in less polite words bull***t detection, b) symmetry in human affairs, that is, fairness, justice, responsibility...
2 ...and reciprocity, c) information sharing in transactions, and d) rationality in complex systems and in the real world. That these four cannot be disentangled is something that is obvious when one has…skin in the game.