Greg Olear Profile picture
Jun 3, 2018 26 tweets 5 min read Read on X
Let's talk about Paul Manafort. (Trump sure seems to want to.)

[THREAD]
1/ With the possible exception of Jared Kushner, Paul Manafort is THE most important figure in Trump/Russia.

Take away Manafort, and Trump isn't president. It's that simple. To wit:
2/ Trump and Manafort have known each other for decades. The latter introduced the former to Tom Barrack, years ago, and it was Barrack who suggested Trump have Manafort join the campaign.
3/ In March of 2016, Trump's campaign manager was Corey Lewandowski, who was in over his head.

Trump had sewn up enough delegates that the Republican nomination looked like a sure thing. Maybe it wasn't 50/50 that he’d win the White House that November, but it was possible.
4/ But then reports trickled out about unhappy delegates, a disgruntled GOP establishment, and the unthinkable prospect of a contested convention that July. Could Ted Cruz or John Kasich somehow pull the chair right out from under Trump’s prodigious derrière?
5/ The last contested GOP convention was back in 1976, when President Ford managed to stave off a challenge by California governor Ronald Reagan. The man in charge of Ford's effort back in '76 was a young Republican strategist and lawyer named -- ta da! -- Paul Manafort.
6/ Manafort would later broker conventions for George H.W. Bush in '88 and Bob Dole in '96. So in March of 2016, the Trump team was all, "Hey, this guy actually KNOWS WHAT HE'S DOING!"
7/ Not only did Manafort have truck with the GOP establishment, but given his experience with brokering conventions, and his personal relationship with the candidate, he seemed uniquely qualified to lead Trump to the nomination.
8/ Although Manafort had not worked on a US race in 20 years, the consensus in the media was that this was a smart hire. Here was a seasoned pro who would bring establishment bona fides to the upstart campaign. (Nice job, MSM!)
9/ Nicknamed “The Count” during his days as a convention broker, the 67-year-old Manafort was well-educated, worldly, independently wealthy, and smart—in stark contrast to the provincial mouthbreathers comprising most of Trump’s team. Or so it seemed.
10/ During those two decades spent away from convention-brokering, Paul Manafort had been spending time with a host of unsavory characters: despots, mostly, from foreign dictatorships—and, more recently, a pair of shady Russian oligarchs, Oleg Deripaska and Dmytro Firtash.
11/ In fact, Manafort was in dire financial straits. Russian intelligence has made a cottage industry of “turning” powerful Americans with money problems. He owed Deripaska some serious coin. Oops!
12/ Manafort's most recent client, Viktor Yanukovych, the former president of Ukraine, was a particularly noxious fellow. All three clients were thick as thieves with Vladimir Putin. (Manafort had been paid many millions of dollars by Yanukovych, illegally.)
13/ The contested convention was a huge stroke of luck for Putin. It enabled him to install his compromised asset, Manafort, AS THE CAMPAIGN MANAGER. Because Trump's people suck at vetting.
14/ Manafort was a key player in many of the meetings with the Russians. The Mayflower Hotel event, chronicled on Twitter by @SethAbramson, as all Manafort's doing. That was Trump signalling that he was willing to play ball w/Putin.
15/ Manafort was also at the Trump Tower meeting with Junior. This tends to be forgotten, but he was there. And HE WAS IN CHARGE at the time.
16/ The RNC worked out just fine, for Manafort and Trump. Donald got the nomination, and Manafort got the GOP platform changed to make it more to Putin's liking.
17/ Basically, Manafort's five or so months in the campaign were CRITICAL. I call it "Treason Season." Trump went from being a potential casualty of the convention to the Putin-favored and -aided nominee in that time.
18/ And now Manafort has been indicted on a boatload of charges, including CONSPIRACY AGAINST THE UNITED STATES.

Let me say it again: Paul Manafort stands accused of conspiring against his country.

Here's a shorter word for that: sedition. Here's another: treason.
19/ This is not Pizzagate-style conspiracy theory. This is not uninformed speculation. This is not something posted anonymously on Reddit. This is an actual charge, filed by the Special Counsel of the US Department of Justice investigating Trump/Russia.
20/ And the individual accused of this heinous crime was the CHAIRMAN of the Trump campaign. Not an intern. Not a coffee boy. The guy in charge.

He now wears two ankle bracelets.
21/ Manafort is looking at a long prison sentence...

HOW LONG IS IT?

So long, that if time moved in reverse, when he got out out of jail, the US would still be a British colony.
22/ I don't know what's up with Trump's Manafort tweets, but I know that Manafort is THE guy. No one can take down the regime faster and more decisively than Manafort. If he chooses to.
The thing is, if Manafort flips and rats out Trump, and is a free man, it's not like Putin wouldn't be eager to serve him polonium tea.

Take heart, folks. MANAFORT IS THE GUY.

[END]
PS
This thread was culled from my book, #DirtyRubles, of which more here:
gregolear.wixsite.com/dirtyrubles

You can read it for free on your Kindle if you have Prime.
*Kindle Unlimited, I'm told, not Prime. Sorry for the confusion. I thought it was the same thing.

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More from @gregolear

Oct 8, 2018
Let’s talk about the House of Kavanaugh—specifically, the hefty mortgage on said house.

[THREAD]
1/ In 2006, Brett & Ashley Kavanaugh bought a house for $1.22m. They put $245k down, a number that does not appear on his financial disclosures of 2005, which show net worth of $91k.
2/ The mortgage payments ($4600/mo.) alone were more than what Brett Kavanaugh took home in 2006 after taxes. His wife did not add enough to the mix to make up the difference.
Read 24 tweets
Oct 3, 2018
In light of the epic (in every sense of the word) NYT story on Trump's tax fraud, let's have a quick review of all the legal troubles these traitors are now in:

[THREAD]
1/ PAUL MANAFORT, Trump’s campaign chair (May-Aug 2016): found guilty on eight counts, pleaded guilty on a bunch more as part of a plea deal in which he must cooperate with Mueller. Met w/Mueller this week, in fact.
2/ MIKE FLYNN, deputy chair of Trump Transition Team, natsec adviser: pleaded guilty to lying to the FBI. Awaiting sentencing. Will one day get out of prison. Will always be an ugly, ugly man.
Read 19 tweets
Oct 3, 2018
Pleased to announce a slate of #DirtyRubles Trump/Russia events, on three of the next five Sundays:
The event in Madison, my hometown, is taking place at an undisclosed secret location [insert Dick Cheney joke here]. If you'd like to come, you need to RSVP:
facebook.com/events/6757800…

cc: @reallymdp @Post_Truth_Era @CodyStumpo
The Woodstock event is at one of my favorite bookstores in all the world, The Golden Notebook @we_love_books.

Last time I was there, I bought FANTASYLAND by @KBAndersen, one of the best books I've read in recent memory.
Read 4 tweets
Oct 1, 2018
Let's talk about the Putin/Alt-Right/GOP propaganda machine—the REAL Devil's Triangle—as it relates to Brett #Kavanaugh:

[THREAD]
1/ This cozy little messaging arrangement, which operates happily in the dark most of the time, is now being exposed because of the fatally flawed candidate Donald Trump has nominated to the Supreme Court.
2/ The problem with Kavanaugh is manifold: first, that he had six-figure credit card debts paid off by creditors whose identity we still don’t know; second, that he lied during his initial testimony...
Read 37 tweets
Sep 22, 2018
Things might feel a bit bleak. Kavanaugh might be in, Rosenstein might be out, and both would be horrible outcomes for democracy.

So let’s put things into perspective.

[THREAD]
1/ The Kavanaugh fight is not over. Even if he gets CONFIRMED, the fight is not over. He stands credibly accused of sexual assault, and he owes lots and lots of money to…we don’t know who.

There’s also this business of HIS (maybe) stolen emails:
2/ Dr. Ford will likely appear before Congress…and the GOP may bring in outside counsel (note spelling) because THERE ARE NO WOMEN REPUBLICANS ON THE JUDICIARY COMMITTEE. This is HORRIBLE optics. It will cost them in November. Bigly.
Read 21 tweets
Sep 17, 2018
Let’s talk about #Kavanaugh. This is why he should not be confirmed. And it has nothing to do with his political beliefs.

[THREAD]
1/ #Kavanaugh was not on the list of judges given to Trump by Judicial Watch, but he was tapped anyway. This was after Trump said he’d “study” (hahaha) judicial positions on various things—namely whether or not a POTUS can be indicted.
2/ When @ChuckGrassley says he didn't know about Christine Blasey Ford, he may well be telling the truth. The letter from those 65 women was likely produced ahead of time to defend #Kavanaugh against a DIFFERENT accuser(s) we don't yet know about.
Read 9 tweets

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