Seriously, commemorative copies of the EU (Withdrawal) Act?
The Brexit equivalent of Charles and Diana commemorative mugs, as one wag said to me on Twitter.
2/12
Ultimately history will judge whether the Withdrawal Act was an important staging post on the route towards Brexit.
Trying to pre-judge the historic-ness of it (or not) just looks crass. Like something from The Thick of It.
3/12
It all looks especially crass in light of the Brexit news in the last week - with Airbus and BMW expressing their severe concerns about the process, with so many issues outstanding.
At today's #EUCO message wasn't much better. Juncker bemoaned the split British cabinet. Rutte said British government's direction was unclear, and urged the Irish border to be prioritised. Varadkar said UK was 2 years late with its preparations.
Politico also had a fascinating piece today about how the German government's Brexit work has essentially stopped since March, because they're waiting for some concrete progress from the British.
Of the three first stage issues, the budget question has largely been solved - but that was months ago. Lots of technicalities relating to citizens' rights are outstanding. And a solution for the Irish border is as far away as ever.
9/12
Meanwhile the next UK government White Paper on Brexit is due next week. *After* the summit at which progress on Brexit was hoped for, but seems certain to not be delivered.
10/12
There is a word for all of this:
DELUSION.
Keeping telling yourself you are making progress, and actually making progress, are completely different things.
11/12
When is the UK government going to snap out of this state?
One might have hoped the warning from Airbus and BMW might have had that effect. No.
Prerequisites for this:
- someone ousts May in a Tory leadership election in Sept/Oct
- Govt majority lost, meaning a new GE in Oct/Nov 2018
(both of these are of course open to question - but bear with me!)
2/8
How do the Tories and Labour approach #Brexit in such a General Election campaign?
One presumes that the Tories (with 75% of their membership pro-Brexit) aim for a hard Brexit, something akin to the Chequers deal (or harder). They'd NOT want a #peoplesvote
3/8
This thread examines some of the aspects of extending Article 50 (or not)
1/12
First some background - I have an older blog post here about why extending the Article 50 period would be a good idea: jonworth.eu/transition-per…
And the relevant part of Article 50 is shown here - unanimous agreement of EU-27 needed to extend
2/12
Extending the Article 50 period is not something either side really wants.
BUT No Deal #Brexit is the thing both sides should absolutely fear, especially 🇬🇧 but even the 🇪🇺, whose Member States (especially 🇮🇪) would take a major GDP hit.
But let's just say for a minute that, spurred on by national sandwich sentiment post a No Deal Brexit, the UK did want to make itself more self-sustaining in its food production, what could it do?
2/15
First some stats: Defra has useful stats on UK food import dependency here: gov.uk/government/sta…
The first Excel table shows how import dependency for food has been growing (the UK now imports 40% of its food), and the second Excel download lists value by food type.
Most charming & amusing Russian 🇷🇺 experience to date here in Ulan-Ude...
When planning this trip people asked me: do you speak Russian? Answer: no. But I am armed with Yandex Translate. It has a RU-EN offline dictionary, and can speak it all too: itunes.apple.com/us/app/yandex-…
1/7
You can do pretty complex things with Yandex.
But trying to book a bus 🚌 ticket 🎟 online from Irkutsk to Bratsk was a step too far.
Irkutsk = Иркутск
Bratsk = Братск
is easy enough.
Entering names, gender etc., sure.
But nationality?
2/7
What is my nationality?
England = Англия
Great Britain = Великобритания
UK? = Объединенное королевство великой Британии и северной Ирландии
None in the list...
Enter a confused but helpful hotel receptionist.
3/7
Something about this #Seehofer "resignation" does not add up.
A thread.
1/9
Merkel went to Brussels and got a framework for a deal on refugees, the sort of thing that Seehofer was pushing for. A bit thin on the details, but Merkel did not return empty handed.
2/9
The normal CSU reaction to this would have been to have claimed a minor victory, to show how Bavaria's interests were being taken seriously, and move on somewhat.
3/9