Let me share with you few insights of what I saw in #Daraa, the battle of south #Syria:
To-date, there are important points to highlight in this battle 1/+
. #Damascus and its allies decided to start the battle off south #Syria with or without #Russia at start. The decision has been made and #Moscow accepted to engage along the Syria central government. This is not the first time this happen. 2/+
. No casualties among #Syria allies, participating in the battle in the south so far, despite their presence on multiple fronts.
. Assad offered no guarantee to #Israel or #US but is expected to keep Syrian Army forces once the south is liberated 3/+
. No one can ever imagine the quantity of weapons and ammunitions confiscated and delivered by groups in the south. The quantity of weapons is filling up all the Syrian Army warehouses to the point that it is beyond the quantity present before 2011.
. Weapons are impossible to transfer through #Jordan or #Israel. This is why all warehouses are intact so far and transported to various locations in Syria to fill up warehouses.
No transfer of rebels, militants or jihadists to the north: either they surrender or they re-integrate in the army or they fight and die. #Jordan's role in positive, contributing in many groups surrendering and putting pressure on these groups to give up without a fight.
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#Iraq: @AdilAbdAlMahdi was given total freedom to select his team in the future government, free from non-qualified individuals and non-corrupted candidates.
Of course, the new PM will have to take into consideration all political parties. These can present names of candidates +
If names are inadequate or considered unsuitable by @AdilAbdAlMahdi, he will ask for more names and again more names until he is satisfied. That was the deal.
The new PM @AdilAbdAlMahdi has reconciled with Nuri al-Maliki a couple of days ago. Al-Maliki was unhappy for his party (Da'wa) to lose the position of PM due to the #USA support to Haidar Abadi following his overt manifestation to "abide by US unilateral sanctions on Iran".
in #Iraq, for the first time since 2003, the #Shia#Sunni#Kurds and #Turkmen were all divided this time prior to the selection of the Speaker, the President and the Prime Minister.
#USA pushed for its own candidate/coalition (Moqtada-Abadi).
#Iran pushed for the unity of all coalitions, Shia, Sunni and Kurds, in an attempted to unite all & produce leaders accepted by all. Iran also worked to bring down the US candidate/coalition.
The world (including Iraq) didn't realise that "no larger coalition has been nominated".
The reason is simple: Iran wanted to save the face and honor of Moqtada, he who joined a lost coalition, so #Iran Soleimani cam "bring him back" to where he belongs
Listen 👂 please: #Israel can't renounce on violating #Lebanon and #Syria airspace. #Russia can't just wipe away the murder of 15 servicemen and its own reputation as a superpower @PutinRF_Eng experience similar situation with #Turkey in 2015
1/+
It is up to @PutinRF_Eng to rebuff #USA and #Israel and hold his ground firmly. I am aware of US lobby within #Russia but it is time to show the world that hegemony is over
#Moscow can ask for itself, for #Syria & substantial compensation for Russian families.
The discussions and the maps offered by #Israel delegation to #Russia about the downing of the IL-20 was considered unacceptable & offensive by #Moscow. Moreover, the Israeli delegation complained about" #Iran's influence in #Syri, an argument the Russian have rejected.
#Russia also rejected the #Israeli claim that President Putin refused to talk to the Syrian president Assad. Israel propaganda aim to cover the deterioration of the relationship between #Moscow and #TelAviv
Remember what I said: The downing of the Russian IL-20 is all in #Israel disadvantage.
Now Israel is confused and no longer confident in what it is doing in #Syria and how to run its relationship with #Russia and #Turkey (following the Idlib deal).
Look at the photo: No burning on the white container south of the destroyed factory indicating this is not a warehouse and no ammunition in it.
No whole on the ground and only 4 traces of missiles in the destroyed factory.
Also, look at the building north of the 155m factory destoryed. This indicates that #Israel didn't want to kill workers living in the building (still standing) and targeted the place at night when the factory was closed.
The white container souyth of the destoryed factory indicates that the last of the 4 missiles hit the target at least 70m away from the still standing white container.
This is a spare part gathering factory with no explosives or ammunitions in it.