@KenDilanianNBC Some thoughts on the @ODNIgov @POTUS relationship: 1) @ODNIgov appearance at @AspenSecurity was likely cleared by @WhiteHouse as were his TPs. So no one should have been surprised
@KenDilanianNBC @ODNIgov @POTUS @AspenSecurity @WhiteHouse 2) Typically you would want to ask the DNI for analysis on how Putin would assess an invite based on his leader profile + based on collection and intel analysis to date.
@KenDilanianNBC @ODNIgov @POTUS @AspenSecurity @WhiteHouse 3) Plus, before making the policy decision to invite Putin, would have thought @POTUS would want @ODNIgov analysis of how Putin viewed the #helsinkisummit
@KenDilanianNBC @ODNIgov @POTUS @AspenSecurity @WhiteHouse 4) Many are shocked by Coats' statements that he wasn’t consulted about the 1:1 and hasn’t been debriefed. It’s another example of the President failing to ask his team for advice in the first instance, and to listen to it in the second. But
@KenDilanianNBC @ODNIgov @POTUS @AspenSecurity @WhiteHouse 5) there are real reasons why a President has historically worked with his intelligence community both before and after a high stakes meeting to maximize the chances for success going in and then to leverage the actual meeting content to shape our next moves.
@KenDilanianNBC @ODNIgov @POTUS @AspenSecurity @WhiteHouse 5) Let’s start with the pre-meeting role that the IC can play -- the DNI can provide feedback on what kinds of situations the foreign leader typically seeks out, feels comfortable in, and what settings make him / her feel like he has the advantage and is in control.
@KenDilanianNBC @ODNIgov @POTUS @AspenSecurity @WhiteHouse 6) in this case you could have imagine Coats flagging that Putin would consider a 1:1 a win because he thinks he has more experience that the President, can catch him off guard, and Putin knows he could play up the narrative that a dirty deal was done behind closed doors
@KenDilanianNBC @ODNIgov @POTUS @AspenSecurity @WhiteHouse 7) once the meeting ended i.e. Putin would view a 1:1 as another opportunity to sow divisions and conspiracy theories in the US.
@KenDilanianNBC @ODNIgov @POTUS @AspenSecurity @WhiteHouse 8) DNI wouldn’t have offered a policy judgment on what kind of meeting to schedule, but they could have shared analysis on how Putin would view a 1:1 set up.
@KenDilanianNBC @ODNIgov @POTUS @AspenSecurity @WhiteHouse 8) Moving to the lack of a post-op (and i use the word operation here purposefully because we have to view the 1:1 between Putin and Trump as part of Putin’s ongoing operation against the United States), the failure to debrief the DNI
@KenDilanianNBC @ODNIgov @POTUS @AspenSecurity @WhiteHouse 9) Coats told @mitchellreports yesterday that he hadn’t been debriefed - is a big counterintelligence risk and also knowingly disadvantages our national security team (and our national security)
@KenDilanianNBC @ODNIgov @POTUS @AspenSecurity @WhiteHouse @mitchellreports 10) On the CI risk: A foreign hostile power - Russia - now has information on the President and what he discussed with Putin that the US government does. This is unto itself a CI risk - the Russians can manipulate this information and, if anything was discussed that @POTUS
@KenDilanianNBC @ODNIgov @POTUS @AspenSecurity @WhiteHouse @mitchellreports 11) doesn’t want coming out, the Russians can use this as a manipulation or bribery point. That’s why part of basic security clearance investigations is to ask about foreign meetings/ contacts - you never want a foreign government to know more about you than your own.
@KenDilanianNBC @ODNIgov @POTUS @AspenSecurity @WhiteHouse @mitchellreports 12) Typically after such a sensitive meeting, the President would share a readout with a very small group of people but the DNI would definitely be included because he would want to look out for any intel on how the Russians viewed the meeting/ but in this case he doesn't know
@KenDilanianNBC @ODNIgov @POTUS @AspenSecurity @WhiteHouse @mitchellreports 13) what actually happened. So he may be hearing pieces of intel on the meeting without having a baseline to assess whether it's accurate or not

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More from @sam_vinograd

Oct 7, 2018
Reading this @StateDept press release on @SecPompeo 's meetings in the Koreas: 1) What did we give up to get the North Koreans to refrain from calling @SecPompeo a gangster this time?
2) Why are we second Summiting when we haven't achieved the meat of what we wanted out of the first? If a "historic" Singapore Summit just led to red herrings, why further normalize Kim with a second?
3) The 4 elements of the Singapore statement can be found here via @WhiteHouse whitehouse.gov/briefings-stat…
Read 5 tweets
Oct 4, 2018
Heading onto @cnni to speak with @RobynCurnowCNN about why not all election interference is created equal. @VP speech today was a dangerous use of time and attention. All it takes is some overt propaganda in local newspapers and @WhiteHouse refocuses its election meddling ire
.@VP did cite covert action, front groups, and propaganda in his speech - in my experience you don't publicly reference covert action unless there's been a substantial discussion with the IC about publicizing this info.
question is what mission of this reported China covert action was / is? Sow divisions? Create confusion? Are Chinese bots fighting with Russian ones in cyberspace? via @USATODAY usatoday.com/story/news/wor…
Read 4 tweets
Sep 29, 2018
Prepping for my discussion tonight with @secupp and want to highlight this section of @realDonaldTrump 's UNGA speech: "The United States is the world’s largest giver in the world, by far, of foreign aid. But few give anything to us."
The US foreign assistance budget is designed around where assistance is needed. We consistently review needs to make sure our $s are well spent, but we have not, to date, used $ to buy something in return. We have used foreign assistance to ease suffering, grow economies, + more
bc we determined that these objectives were in fact "giving" something back to the US and our national security.
Read 5 tweets
Sep 26, 2018
I am a woman and I am “angry” - anyone else?
.@AshaRangappa_ and I are speaking about what “security” means to us, as women, this afternoon. What a day to be having this conversation. We should be having it every day.
.@ChuckGrassley I see several reasons for complaint.
Read 5 tweets
Sep 26, 2018
.@realDonaldTrump just mixed up alleged Iran and North Korea hostage payment reporting.
He also gave us a “readout” of topics discussed during his 1:1 with Putin — no mention of election meddling - but there wasn’t anyone else in the room so ....
.@POTUS reportedly canceled a meeting with @JustinTrudeau over a trade dispute but wants to meet with Putin and Kim again. Two men who use WMD, cyber attack us, and more. But milk tho ....
Read 4 tweets
Sep 26, 2018
Who will get the last laugh at this @realDonaldTrump presser? Head to @CNNSitRoom to find out
Well it looks like the media factually speaking. They just laughed.
Repeated that China is trying to interfere in our election but he and Xi have a great relationship. Is getting on the President's friends and family list as easy as attacking us?
Read 6 tweets

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