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Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺 Profile picture
@ejmalrai
Jul 24, 2018 • 7 tweets • 4 min read • Read on X
Using a Patriot missile, Israel shoots down a Syrian Sukhoi flying over Saida in rural Quneitra above al-Qadi area in southern Golan while bombing #ISIS - Huran enclave.
#Damascus said its jet was not flying over any Israeli territory neither breaking the 1974 disengagement line as Israel falsely claimed.

The Israeli act of war has no strategic purposes but trying to provoke the Syrian government to a wider response. There is no point for Israel to support the last #ISIS enclave because the Syrian army is determine to end it in less than 2 months.

Prime minister @netanyahu is dragging Israel to a war the country and the population are not ready for.

Let see what will happen AFTER the liberation of the entire south of Syria and the deployment of Syrian air-defence along the 1974 disengagement line

I expect an escalation on the Syrian front before the end of this year: the war in the Middle East is far from ending, although Netanyahu is not a prime minister who can fight outside Gaza.

Russia succeeded in its war against jihadists, preventing the "regime change" in #Syria.

However, it is expected to fail if trying to mediate between Damascus & Tel Aviv over the occupied Golan heights & the policy Assad should take towards his allies.

Already Putin saved Netanyahu from his "bad ideas" (more details in few days) and is trying to offer a plan (Iran withdrawal to 100 km) he can't implement.

It is better to concentrate on #idlibstan after the liberation of the south.

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More from @ejmalrai

Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺 Profile picture
Oct 5, 2018
#Iraq: @AdilAbdAlMahdi was given total freedom to select his team in the future government, free from non-qualified individuals and non-corrupted candidates.
Of course, the new PM will have to take into consideration all political parties. These can present names of candidates +
If names are inadequate or considered unsuitable by @AdilAbdAlMahdi, he will ask for more names and again more names until he is satisfied. That was the deal.

The new PM @AdilAbdAlMahdi has reconciled with Nuri al-Maliki a couple of days ago. Al-Maliki was unhappy for his party (Da'wa) to lose the position of PM due to the #USA support to Haidar Abadi following his overt manifestation to "abide by US unilateral sanctions on Iran".
Read 4 tweets
Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺 Profile picture
Oct 3, 2018
in #Iraq, for the first time since 2003, the #Shia #Sunni #Kurds and #Turkmen were all divided this time prior to the selection of the Speaker, the President and the Prime Minister.
#USA pushed for its own candidate/coalition (Moqtada-Abadi).

#Iran pushed for the unity of all coalitions, Shia, Sunni and Kurds, in an attempted to unite all & produce leaders accepted by all. Iran also worked to bring down the US candidate/coalition.

The world (including Iraq) didn't realise that "no larger coalition has been nominated".

The reason is simple: Iran wanted to save the face and honor of Moqtada, he who joined a lost coalition, so #Iran Soleimani cam "bring him back" to where he belongs

Read 8 tweets
Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺 Profile picture
Sep 24, 2018
#Moscow: S-300 to #Syria in 2 weeks. #Israel will be limited to bombing #Syria from afar, coordinate any flight above #Lebanon and #Syria with #Russia hours before and #Damascus won't hesitate to bring down an #Israeli jet over #Lebanon and Syria.

This is a major blow to #Israel and #USA.

#Syria can also, potentially, bring down any hostile force in the air occupying #Syrian territory.

#Riussia, by delivering the S-300 to #Syria, needs to deliver protection system around it.

#Russia is hitting 2 birds (Israel & US) in 1 stone (S-300 to #Syria).

I don't think this is the only price #Israel will pay for the 15 Russian servicemen killed. More to come.

Adding: #Iran Bavar to #Syria

Israel omnipotence is coming to an end.

Read 4 tweets
Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺 Profile picture
Sep 23, 2018
Listen 👂 please:
#Israel can't renounce on violating #Lebanon and #Syria airspace.
#Russia can't just wipe away the murder of 15 servicemen and its own reputation as a superpower
@PutinRF_Eng experience similar situation with #Turkey in 2015
1/+

#Israel has nothing to offer to #Russia and #Moscow has nothing to ask from #TelAviv. Airspace is closed, period.

So Israel will go and cry on Uncle Sam's shoulder: the magnificent @realDonaldTrump #USA
2/+

It is up to @PutinRF_Eng to rebuff #USA and #Israel and hold his ground firmly. I am aware of US lobby within #Russia but it is time to show the world that hegemony is over

#Moscow can ask for itself, for #Syria & substantial compensation for Russian families.

Time to pay 3/
Read 5 tweets
Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺 Profile picture
Sep 21, 2018
The discussions and the maps offered by #Israel delegation to #Russia about the downing of the IL-20 was considered unacceptable & offensive by #Moscow. Moreover, the Israeli delegation complained about" #Iran's influence in #Syri, an argument the Russian have rejected.
#Russia also rejected the #Israeli claim that President Putin refused to talk to the Syrian president Assad. Israel propaganda aim to cover the deterioration of the relationship between #Moscow and #TelAviv
Remember what I said: The downing of the Russian IL-20 is all in #Israel disadvantage.

Now Israel is confused and no longer confident in what it is doing in #Syria and how to run its relationship with #Russia and #Turkey (following the Idlib deal).

Read 4 tweets
Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺 Profile picture
Sep 19, 2018
Look at the photo: No burning on the white container south of the destroyed factory indicating this is not a warehouse and no ammunition in it.
No whole on the ground and only 4 traces of missiles in the destroyed factory.
Also, look at the building north of the 155m factory destoryed. This indicates that #Israel didn't want to kill workers living in the building (still standing) and targeted the place at night when the factory was closed.
The white container souyth of the destoryed factory indicates that the last of the 4 missiles hit the target at least 70m away from the still standing white container.

This is a spare part gathering factory with no explosives or ammunitions in it.

Read 4 tweets

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