"In Kerala, there’s no reason to damn the dams" here is my answer to all pundits who are preaching an early opening of Idukki would have saved the flooding of Periyar..
I felt depressed when a person who served as the Director of the prestigious IITM says that he has given warning & Kerala has no respect for his warning but Odisha has!!
Oh boy!! I am at a loss if you cant discern cyclones in East coast and extreme rainfall in Western coast
This explains the grave problem our country is going through. We seen this during #DemonetisationDisaster many economists shed basic economic theories and shamelessly defended it. I will be very happy when IMD develops the capabilities to predict these extreme storms like cyclone
If a meteorologist who head IMD says that Odisha respects our warnings but Kerala or the West Coast have no respect!! It is palatable to the ones who are waiting for to take it as a Gospel. I did not study meteorology, but my basic common sense and understanding made me shocked!
Then next group is the ones who proved their mettle in very unique fields but has no experience in managing reservoirs & flood hydrology. Of course, the society is aware that if they have a cardiac problem, they should go to a cardiologist and not a orthopaedic...
But Sadly for all other areas, we should seek response on esoteric subjects from celebrities to experts from other domains where they have no have expertise other than a generalist view. Great! This is the way forward for scientific temper. We are happy with a response from X/Y/Z
Unless we understand that there are esoteric and complex areas of science and engineering which needs decades of experience of observing and learning and our academic qualifications are only the foundation to start this long journey, we will be like blind lead a group blind
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Many here asked me why I am not reacted to the latest RBI Annual Report which exposed DeMon as nothing but a perverted dream of a Tughlak.
First of all there was nothing surprising elements there for me!!
Then everyone was discussing the amount of 99% returned to the system! Some sigh of relief as our Urjit stop counting, but I don't get any evidence that he has stopped that!!
Because still we hear about old SBN notes are seized by agencies ;)
Annual Report 2017-18 of the RBI that Rs.15.311 trillion Specified Bank Notes was returned. While RBI in its AR in 2016-17 itself admitted that as of June 30, 2017, received Rs.15.28 trillion of SBN.
IMD started issuing alerts "be prepared" from August 8! "For action" was issued on August 9.
At least glad that IMD admitted that their alerts were that close.
Also thank you for not claiming that they have issued alerts for "extreme rainfall" and only "heavy rainfall" then
I scanned all those reports of this regional office issued. NOWHERE I SEEN AN EXTREME RAINFALL EVENT ALERT. Each Monsoon season IMD used to issue HEAVY TO VERY HEAVY RAINFALL alerts and small reservoirs used to spill and the spate will be comfortably negotiated by the rivers
Please understand the nuances. We can negotiate a heavy rainfall event, whatever allowances in the dams and river channels are sufficient to negotiate that one. You will see some flooding, may be a knee deep one & dams spill w/o any problems
With due respect to his credentials as an expert environmentalist, I differ with him, because this is a repeat of 1924 and this type of extreme events will occur with an annual exceedence probability of 9.52% in a span of 100 years!
How many dams are there in Achecoil, Manimala & Meenachil which created havoc in Central Kerala?
ZERO
How much yield of Pamba River is impounded in the dams there?
JUST 10.4%
Blame it on dams!!
Come to the Northern Kerala.....
There you have the Great Chaliyar River, which flows through Kozhikode and Malappuram Districts.
How many dams are there is this Chaliyar River basin other than some small weirs?
ZERO.
Blame it on dams..
Why ur doing annual maintenance of Idukki machines whn the Monsoon is active?
Smart QN.
But understand that Idukki is meeting Kerala's peak energy demand, its annual maintenance are done during monsoon and its all machine are needed in summer whn demand high, not in monsoon
It's not about the overall rainfall in an year, though the trend is more or less not much difference, we can observe a slight decrease. Same time we are seeing a skewed no of rainfall days off late. That means less number of rainy days and more intense rains
Climate change scientists predicted more frequent rainfall events for Western Coast. But I think that the present rainfall events of Mumbai of 2005 or Kerala of 2018 are not enough to make a reach a conclusion that we are experiencing the after effects of climate change.