#pattern_analysis#price_action Make your own judgement , do not ask me "buy or sell". Spoon feeding will not take you anywhere. Try to learn, best of luck :)
If within a triangle of any kind, you get three peaks and three troughs, 90% of the time the pattern is complete and the next swing is the breakout/breakdown swing. High time BNF starts a wild move #pattern#experience#pro_tip
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
This is where the first short was, then shorted more on the way down. Due to high vol, starting with 1 lot and then punching volumes if the trade goes in my favour. Else would have been out with SL on a single contract . High VIX --> different strategies
Seeing quite a few msgs on twitter how one bought stocks at 2008 high , stocks went down 80% and then they sold at 5x of buying price . Funny no one bought DLF , Unitech, Suzlon, Rcom etc . Don't jump into buy on this survivorship bias based stories
The amount of mutual fund money which flowed into the bourses based upon the #MutualFundsSahiHai slogan lifted all stocks . Such a liquidity flow might not be repeated in the future if the MFs now take a big hit .
If you want to buy for long term as an investor , wait for the PE ratios to drop further . Sharing a study which I did long ago , but the principles still hold true
This is the crux of all complicated option selling strategies . Nothing so simple can work across all market conditions .
This model has a problem . It's assumed that IV will mean revert , as it has done since 2015 . But what if the volatility regime changes ? IV is not a bounded indicator which has an upper and a lower ceiling. What if IV continues to go up ?
Volatility has 3 characteristics . Persistency , cyclicity and mean reversion .