My quant models predictions for tomorrow :
Nifty fut : If Nifty fut goes up by 36 points from opening ( use first 5 min VWAP as opening), it will be a 'trend-day' on the upside with a target of 80-100 points. SL will be the opening price( or first 5 min VWAP)
My quant models predictions for tomorrow :
BankNifty fut : If BN fut goes up by 85 points from opening ( use first 5 min VWAP as opening ), it will be a 'trend-day' on the upside with a target of 220-240 points. SL will be the opening price( or first 5 min VWAP)
In stocks, WIPRO seems massively bullish with large upsides. SL 318 #positional
I will be taking the day off tomorrow, so don't expect me providing any live analysis. If trading these views, use stops and trade according to your risk profile. Best of luck and happy trading 👍
Nifty and BankNifty both trades triggered , the day should now be very exciting . Sadly I will be sitting out , will not trade the indices on such a day without my systems
If someone is trading these calls , please chase with stops as per your charts . Away from my systems , hence unable to update stops
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This is where the first short was, then shorted more on the way down. Due to high vol, starting with 1 lot and then punching volumes if the trade goes in my favour. Else would have been out with SL on a single contract . High VIX --> different strategies
Seeing quite a few msgs on twitter how one bought stocks at 2008 high , stocks went down 80% and then they sold at 5x of buying price . Funny no one bought DLF , Unitech, Suzlon, Rcom etc . Don't jump into buy on this survivorship bias based stories
The amount of mutual fund money which flowed into the bourses based upon the #MutualFundsSahiHai slogan lifted all stocks . Such a liquidity flow might not be repeated in the future if the MFs now take a big hit .
If you want to buy for long term as an investor , wait for the PE ratios to drop further . Sharing a study which I did long ago , but the principles still hold true
This is the crux of all complicated option selling strategies . Nothing so simple can work across all market conditions .
This model has a problem . It's assumed that IV will mean revert , as it has done since 2015 . But what if the volatility regime changes ? IV is not a bounded indicator which has an upper and a lower ceiling. What if IV continues to go up ?
Volatility has 3 characteristics . Persistency , cyclicity and mean reversion .