Thread by @Lady_Star_Gem

Democrats need 2 seats to flip the senate

They need 1 of the following scenarios to come true:

•Democrats need to win Republican held seats in Arizona & Nevada

•They need to hold on to all 26 of their currently held seats, including Indiana & Missouri
cnn.com/2018/09/08/pol…

If Democrats lose 1 of their seats, they need to take Arizona, Nevada & Tennessee.

Democrats could sub in Texas for 1 of these 3 seats or carry all 4 & afford to lose 2 of their seats.

They can't afford to lose in West Virginia, where tRump won by more than 40 points in 2016.

Manchin has retained high single digit polling lead in Mountaineer St
It isn't difficult seeing his lead falling given tRump is well liked there

Good news for Dems is: results across these races are correlated
Winning 1 of these tight races means they're likely to win most of em

Bottom line is Dems have narrow path to Senate majority.
The public polling right now suggests that path is still very much open.
It could close in a moment's notice, though, with so many pieces that must fall into place for them.

Please #VoteBlue
#VoteThemAllOut
#FlipTheSenate