The thing is, Texas has a number of competitive statewide races this cycle, one of which is for attorney general.
The incumbent, @KenPaxtonTX, is under indictment, an ideologue, and even less likable than Cruz.
3/ By contrast the Democrat, @NelsonforTexas, is a highly qualified centrist who has clerked for two Reagan appointees and was provoked into running because Paxton is legitimately a threat to the rule of law.
Also, Nelson is not under indictment. Strikes me as quite lawful.
4/ Polls show the race is close and this is actually a race that matters to ALL Americans, if only because the Trump administration is effectively laundering its agenda through the office of the Texas attorney general- on #DACA, preexisting conditions, etc.
5/ And, as noted in my column, Kavanaugh is almost certain to be confirmed...so the ROI on calling Susan Collins’ office is relatively low, compared to the ROI on helping @NelsonforTexas get the word out.
6/ So, tell your friends- or donate, because in this case that’d actually be helpful—it’s not hard to make a 30-second case against an indicted attorney general; and one such ad airing statewide would probably settle the issue
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And, it's hard to quantify the impact of uncertainty, of course. But Texas has *less* uncertainty than most states, in a sense, because the "Texas model" is in the constitution, which establishes a limited and lean STATE government. 1/
2/ That's essentially why Texas has historically been pro-business. We can't afford to NOT be pro-business. Which is, in turn, one of the reasons *business* has historically been pro-Texas. It's not just the model itself, it's the fact that you can plan around it.
3/ But in a trade war, that doesn't work to our advantage. Texas is differentially exposed to the impact AND differentially ill-equipped to weather it.
The thing is, what happened today was *entirely predictable.* Here is an excerpt from a piece I wrote, in December 2015. texasmonthly.com/burka-blog/a-l…
At the time, everyone thought I was being melodramatic or hyperbolic--and neurotic, in any case; it was still six weeks before the Iowa caucus.
Ok so, a few things about this, because as @baseballcrank says both sides are demanding that everyone pick a team and it's extremely inane and annoying 1/
This article, by @JoshuaMZeitz, is not particularly obnoxious by the standards of the genre, but I doubt Rs will find it persuasive. Let me highlight this passage:
Dem friends, if you genuinely see Trump or "Trumpism" as an existential threat to the republic--as some conservatives do!--you should just say that. People who share that premise (like me) will consider voting Dem in 2018 *solely on that basis*