Important memo to journalists & others reporting on passage of #SB100, California's clean electricity law signed by Gov. Brown yesterday.
What law does: requires 100% of CA electricity sales supplied by "eligible renewable energy resources and zero-carbon resources" by 2045.
What the law does *not* require:
(a) 100% renewable electricity (it specifies renewables AND "zero-carbon resources")
(b) elimination of fossil fuels from electricity (it requires carbon-free, not no fossil)
(c) 100% clean *energy* (the law is about electricity, not all energy)
I have read stories making all of the above statements in the past 24 hours, all of which are incorrect. The bill is deliberately focused on achieving 100% "carbon-free" electricity and is intentionally flexible. It will be up to state agencies to define "zero-carbon" further.
Things that could qualify under SB100 (depending on implementation) that do NOT count as "eligible renewables" for 60% renewable portfolio standard by 2030 the law also establishes:
2. Existing nuclear (eg Diablo Canyon, 9% of CA electricity, if it stays open instead of close in 2024/2025) 3. Imports of nuclear (e.g. Palo Verde in AZ) 4. New nuclear in state (if 1976 moratorium rescinded or conditions satisfied w/opening of nuclear waste repository in US).
5. Combustion of hydrogen produced by carbon-free fuels (nuclear or renewables) 6. Fossil generation with 100% capture and sequestration (possible w/oxyfuel combustion & Allam cycle being demonstrated by Net Power, or other designs)
7. Fossil generation with <100% CCS provided implementation allows for netting out of remaining CO2 elsewhere (as form. Energy Sect's Moniz & Karnser argue here energyfuturesinitiative.org/news/2018/8/28… 8. Whatever future CO2-free technologies come to market in next 27 years we can't think of now.
SB 100 is deliberately flexible, technology inclusive, and designed to adapt to changing technology costs/availability/value to harness most cost-effective set of carbon-free resources. It allows state agencies to decide on further nitty gritty implementation (eg CARB, CEC, CPUC)
That flexibility is a core feature. As my research on deep decarbonization of electricity has shown, the best way to reach zero carbon at lowest cost and with least risk is to embrace all available carbon-free resources. For more, see
Note that SB100 stands apart from renewables-specific mandates such as Cali's prior RPS or 100% renewables law in Hawaii. It is most similar to Massachusetts' 80% by 2050 "Clean Energy Standard" implemented by Gov. Baker last year mass.gov/guides/clean-e…
Importantly, SB100 also specifies the law should not result in an increase in CO2 emissions elsewhere in the Western US grid. So no shuffling around of CO2 or using fossil generators out of state to back up California renewables. This will require 'firm' carbon-free resources.
SB 100 is historic. It is a model for other states serious about confronting climate change. And it is well crafted to focus on the key ends (achieving carbon-free) not prescribing the means.
A new OECD report finds carbon pricing policies are spreading worldwide, but are almost uniformly too low to fully capture damages caused by CO2 or drive needed emissions declines. Here's a thread on why carbon pricing falls short and what we might do about it…
Using a social cost of carbon -- the estimate of societal damage caused by one ton of CO2 -- of €30/ton, the OECD finds that almost 90% of total global CO2 emissions are priced at a level below the damages they cause. About 55% of global emissions are not priced at all.
The OECD calculates the "carbon pricing gap" -- or the cumulative sum of each ton of global emissions times the gap between the carbon price applied to that ton and the €30/ton social cost of carbon estimates -- is 76.5%.
With legislation committing California to 100% carbon-free electricity sitting on Gov. Brown’s desk, I wanted to share a timely new peer-reviewed article out today in the journal, @Joule_CP: cell.com/joule/fulltext…
In the paper, @nsepulvedam, @FdeSisternes, Prof. Richard Lester and I use detailed power system modeling to identify strategies that lower the costs and increase the odds of reaching a zero-carbon electricity grid. Check out MIT News coverage of the paper: technologyreview.com/s/611987/how-c…
After ~1,000 cases covering possible future tech cost, regional diffs in renewables quality & demand, and different limits on CO2, our study consistently demonstrates the best way to zero out electricity emissions is to deploy a balanced mix of low-carbon electricity sources.
Everything in this thread by @jacob_mays is correct (and also calmy and clearly articulated). Contrary to @ShellenbergerMD's thesis, there are no physical reasons why wind or solar power must increase electricity costs.
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Michael's first (of two controversial) posts on renewables driving up electricity costs forbes.com/sites/michaels… contains several grains of truth (eg the declining value of wind/solar as they scale) but it doesn't connect the right dots either.
Michael misses the main obvious reason why wind or solar *may* have driven up electricity rates in some places (eg Germany, Denmark, California): while renewables have gotten MUCH cheaper in the last few years, they are subsidy independent in few places and only recently...
THREAD: There’s a commonly held view that nuclear power and wind & solar mix like oil and water. Inflexible, always-on nuclear, the idea goes, is ill-suited for a world where wind and solar output vary on timescales ranging from seconds to hours to seasons. 1/
In reality, while nuclear plants traditionally provide steady output 24-7, reactors are technically capable of much greater flexibility and can dynamically adjust their power output to respond to changing electricity prices and second-to-second frequency regulation needs. 2/
That flexibility is about to become a much more valuable capability as renewable energy penetration increases in power systems across the world, according to my latest research... 3/ energy.mit.edu/news/keeping-t…
Good questions @RedsforNamesake. If confronting #climate change is your priority, it is imperative to ramp up carbon-free energy asap.
1. NJ will now ramp up renewable energy from 13% in 2017 and 20% by 2020 under old RPS to 35% by 2025 & 50% by 2030. Impressive leadership.
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2. To ensure that this new clean energy replaces fossil fuels and contributes to #climate mitigation goals, NJ's new laws also make payments to ensure the continued operation of 3 South Jersey nuclear reactors that currently supply 31% of the state's electricity consumption.
2. Cont.: That measure is essential and ensures that nearly all of the new clean energy growth over the next 12 years builds on top of the fossil-free foundation provided by the state's existing nuclear plants.
I was about to head offline for 2 weeks, but I need to respond to this new paper from @ppchef before I go on whether #nuclear can operate flexibly. By coincidence, I just had a peer-reviewed article on this very subject accepted by Applied Energy by today! So here's a thread...
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In this new "discussion paper," energy journalist @PPchef takes great pains to demonstrate that nuclear power is too inflexible to pair well with wind & solar in a "decarbonized energy system" & thus must be discarded "to make room" for more #wind & #solarpublications.iass-potsdam.de/pubman/item/es…
I'm going to defer technical discussion of whether nuclear plants (old and new) can ramp or change output to match fluctuations in net demand and contribute to system reliability/flexibility until my paper is released (short answer: they certainly can if doing so is valuable)...