Simon Usherwood Profile picture
Sep 13, 2018 16 tweets 3 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
#BrexitTransition keynote from @davidallengreen: going to focus on information flows in Brexit process
General policy problem that nobody's how Brexit will turn out

Political crisis too, but no constitutional crisis (yet)
Finally, a media and information crisis: traditional channels between politicians, media and public have not worked
Gvt hasn't provided any useful info about Brexit, so media lacks this source. Plus many key decisions happen in BRX, not London, so lobby system doesn't help either
Thus BRX journos have become more reliable guides to UK politics than UK counterparts
However, Gvt still in old mode, so focused on internal politics, which explain what's happened better than rational choice
So far, UK model has been to keep things the same as much as possible, inc in transition. No serious discussion of what the future will be
Might be rational to extend transition, or to post-date withdrawal date, but debate hasn't been rational
Problems of info failures will be magnified when there finally is debate on what future might be
EU has been open, clear and consistent about process and preferences throughout, while UK has bluffed its way through on line of 'not revealing negotiating position'
'Nerd heaven' for think-tanks: lots of great material from @instituteforgov @CER_EU and @UKandEU
Also good work from @UKParliament and @CommonsEUexit @LordsEUCom
Transition is actually a continuity arrangement, 'Brexit in name only', but when divergence does happen, Q of whether current info-sharing going to have to change?
If media/commentators are to be able to explain what's happening, gvt will need to be more open about what's happening
Transition might become basis of long-term relationship w UK, so needs to be debated and considered
And we're done

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More from @Usherwood

Oct 9, 2018
While I kick my heels for a meeting, let's think about Brexit and inevitability:

1/
Let's start off by noting that I'm not a big one for inevitability, in any political situation

2/
It's a throwing up of the hands and submitting to forces beyond our control: 'there's nothing to be done'

Personally, I think there's always something to be done

3/
Read 18 tweets
Oct 8, 2018
So, what to make of today?

1/
Over the weekend, lots of +ve optics and warm words, to get mvt from the conference-season slump

But lots of reining in during the day

2/
Partly, it's sensible expectation mgt: one might have had the impression that suddenly everything was hunky-dory and the work of a moment

3/
Read 13 tweets
Oct 5, 2018
Possibly more for me than for you, let's try to pull this week together a bit:

1/
Let's start with the EU side

Having largely kept heads down during conference season, yesterday's Tusk/Varadkar presser demonstrated that EU is keeping the pressure on

2/
The tension seems to be between COM/EUCO and IE, as @pmdfoster explained well yesterday: IE making conciliatory noises, central EU bodies pushing EU integrity line



3/
Read 17 tweets
Oct 4, 2018
Let's just work through this one, given the attention it's getting
By taking the CON rebels' terminology, Tusk is making a point

But what point?
As we know from the infamous Barnier Steps, the EU offer is conditioned on UK red lines as much as anything

Read 8 tweets
Oct 4, 2018
Interesting to see how it's just as UK debate sits down for a bit on Brexit, to recover from conference season, negotiations w EU step up
If past fortnight has been about domestic management, then coming fortnight will be about UK working w EU to find ways to get mvt on WA/PD
Because of that hiatus after Salzburg, there's now v.little time left to achieve mvt in time for Oct #EUCO, hence the rush now
Read 11 tweets
Oct 3, 2018
So, the CON party conference and Brexit:

1/
Back in Sept, there was much talk about this being a crunch point in the UK debate, as May would come under fire for Chequers and there would be scope for changes/realignments/whatever

2/
Certainly that first bit has happened, with numerous op-eds over the weekend and assorted fringe events (inc. yesterday's Johnson speech)

3/
Read 15 tweets

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