James Wilson Profile picture
Sep 18, 2018 16 tweets 5 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
Some #Demonetisation thoughts!

Many here asked me why I am not reacted to the latest RBI Annual Report which exposed DeMon as nothing but a perverted dream of a Tughlak.

First of all there was nothing surprising elements there for me!!
Then everyone was discussing the amount of 99% returned to the system! Some sigh of relief as our Urjit stop counting, but I don't get any evidence that he has stopped that!!

Because still we hear about old SBN notes are seized by agencies ;)
Annual Report 2017-18 of the RBI that Rs.15.311 trillion Specified Bank Notes was returned. While RBI in its AR in 2016-17 itself admitted that as of June 30, 2017, received Rs.15.28 trillion of SBN. 

Total SBN demotenised was Rs.15.44 trillion

99.2% vs 99.0% is a big deal?? 😉
Why it's not a surprise to me? Because I told you that this is going to happen when our Finance Minister to Attorney General to Economist wizards to Anchor cohorts to social media trolls were saying that Rs. 4-5 lakh crores will never return & the windfall will fill our treasury!
Please read my blog post on 20th December 2016, I said that after analysing the trends of SBN returned till 10/12/16. After that RBI stopped disclosure and fully devoted to counting mocking common sense of every sensible citizen of this great nation
decipherdemon.blogspot.com/2016/12/a-monu…
Okay, for the lazy Twitter crowd, I will give the screenshot of the penultimate paragraph where in I made it damn clear. My estimate was the amount returned by we Indians not included Nepal and Bhutan portion :)
So instead of disclosing the exact amount return to the system, the regime made RBI Governor a laughing stock, the Counting Patel was born!!!

Cohort media started new spin stories of digital revolutions and income tax base growth!!! All lies were peddled as Gospel to you!
That time I done a series of write ups in @thewire_in exposing these fake news peddled by the palace stenographers of the great Indian main stream media!

I will update these articles soon with updated data. But please read those old articles to understand the power of propaganda
This article was a clinical examination of whether India moved to the digital Utopia offered by the Emperor!! If you still have doubts look at CIC? It's now ₹19.4 trillion as of 7/9/18, we are back to pre-demon CIC/GDP ratio
thewire.in/business/digit…
The great IT growth story was busted through a series kf articles starting from this one!

Some still trust the propaganda that DeMon created miracles! Even Niti Aayog refuses to buy this poopaganda! 🤣

thewire.in/business/fact-…
Aww..This story forced the regime to issue a clarification!!!

But you cannot cover a lie with another big lie!

So it's easy to expose them!

thewire.in/economy/modi-c…
This story was followed up with another one!

Read this and understand what is really happening on the ground!!

thewire.in/economy/demone…
Next there was orgasams about a less CIC/GDP ratio followed by RBI Annual Report of 2016-17, no one bothered when cash was taken away from the system, Tughlaks were killing the golden goose!

So I was forced ask this then

thewire.in/economy/india-…
Nothing will prevent the Bureau Chief to peddle alternative truths!! He is a master orator who can mesmerise the Lyuten's cohorts wag their tales according to the biscuits thrown at them..

Oh boy! Now he is in competition with me, blog writing 😛

thewire.in/economy/tall-c…
Let him write blogs, his blogs will be peddled as Gospel by media's panna pramukhs!!

If you are getting windfall gains from all taxes, why they are looting you with petrol taxes? Where all this money goes? Which black hole?

Don't think and ask questions.

Coma is so alluring
Then my final piece on demonetisation was done for the FRONTLINE, on the anniversary issue on great Tuglakian experiment!

Let's read this comprehensive take too!!

frontline.in/cover-story/bl…

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More from @jamewils

Sep 2, 2018
IMD started issuing alerts "be prepared" from August 8! "For action" was issued on August 9.

At least glad that IMD admitted that their alerts were that close.

Also thank you for not claiming that they have issued alerts for "extreme rainfall" and only "heavy rainfall" then
I scanned all those reports of this regional office issued. NOWHERE I SEEN AN EXTREME RAINFALL EVENT ALERT. Each Monsoon season IMD used to issue HEAVY TO VERY HEAVY RAINFALL alerts and small reservoirs used to spill and the spate will be comfortably negotiated by the rivers
Please understand the nuances. We can negotiate a heavy rainfall event, whatever allowances in the dams and river channels are sufficient to negotiate that one. You will see some flooding, may be a knee deep one & dams spill w/o any problems
Read 25 tweets
Aug 30, 2018
"In Kerala, there’s no reason to damn the dams" here is my answer to all pundits who are preaching an early opening of Idukki would have saved the flooding of Periyar..

Read it slowly and understand the nuances! nationalheraldindia.com/india/in-keral…
Grab the hardcopy and read @NH_India
I felt depressed when a person who served as the Director of the prestigious IITM says that he has given warning & Kerala has no respect for his warning but Odisha has!!
Oh boy!! I am at a loss if you cant discern cyclones in East coast and extreme rainfall in Western coast
Read 8 tweets
Aug 27, 2018
With due respect to his credentials as an expert environmentalist, I differ with him, because this is a repeat of 1924 and this type of extreme events will occur with an annual exceedence probability of 9.52% in a span of 100 years!

Extreme floods is not his area of expertise!
In our country, we have a habit of people and experts venture into the uncharted territory where they have no domain knowledge.

I can't/will not comment on ecology or environment because it's not my domain. I read and understand but never make sweeping statements about that
What about the 1924 flood? When Kerala had no encroachment and had one foruth of the population than now?

Now the scientific evidence shows that this 2018 is a repeat of 1924!! Nature has it's crazy behaviour.

Gadgil is right about landslides but not about floods. Sorry!
Read 4 tweets
Aug 22, 2018
I am ready for a debate with any of these experts who are blaming KSEB for mismanagement of dam operations.

Stop sweeping statements! Come out with data and talk sense!

Don't lead a literate society to blind spots!!
When our catchment areas had experienced one third of the annual rainfall within 4 days pinch yourself...Can you believe it?

& the Engineers managed efficiently and contained these floods even when you had a 1 in 1000 year flood!

Please don't destroy their morale!!
This is the hard evidence of 4 days of non-stop extreme rainfall

Idukki -811mm (Idukki Dist)
Pamba - 344 mm (Pathanamthitta Dist)
Kakki - 915 mm (Pathanamthitta Dist)
Kuttiyadi - 954 mm (Kozhikode Dist)
Idamalayar - 644 mm (Ernakulam Dist)
Read 14 tweets
Aug 21, 2018
Damn Dams!!

They created all hell in Kerala......

How many dams are there in Achecoil, Manimala & Meenachil which created havoc in Central Kerala?

ZERO

How much yield of Pamba River is impounded in the dams there?

JUST 10.4%

Blame it on dams!!
Come to the Northern Kerala.....

There you have the Great Chaliyar River, which flows through Kozhikode and Malappuram Districts.

How many dams are there is this Chaliyar River basin other than some small weirs?
ZERO.

Blame it on dams..
Why ur doing annual maintenance of Idukki machines whn the Monsoon is active?

Smart QN.

But understand that Idukki is meeting Kerala's peak energy demand, its annual maintenance are done during monsoon and its all machine are needed in summer whn demand high, not in monsoon
Read 27 tweets
Aug 19, 2018
Let me try to answer briefly, though meteorology or climate change science is my area of expertise. I normally don't venture into unknown territories

My surmises are based on my extensive research on past extreme rainfall events & PMP estimates (upper bound of rainfall)
It's not about the overall rainfall in an year, though the trend is more or less not much difference, we can observe a slight decrease. Same time we are seeing a skewed no of rainfall days off late. That means less number of rainy days and more intense rains
Climate change scientists predicted more frequent rainfall events for Western Coast. But I think that the present rainfall events of Mumbai of 2005 or Kerala of 2018 are not enough to make a reach a conclusion that we are experiencing the after effects of climate change.
Read 12 tweets

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