Subhadip Nandy Profile picture
Oct 5, 2018 6 tweets 1 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
Expectation : Nifty fut goes below 10540, maybe breaks low, then goes up and crosses 10565. This will be a short-trap. Will the buy > 10565, add positions above 10580 and 10595. Initial SL will be 10540 ( 10.07AM)
Not looking to short here , today shorting Nifty fut will not be easy #not_advised
First part done, will now buy if 10565 is crossed, Sl 10540
If my analysis is correct, then shorters below 10536 will not get 15-20 points
nah, my analysis was probably wrong
days these types of analysis does not work, this becomes just an intellectual exercise. Days these works, I make a killing . Generally these type of analysis is against crowd consensus 😀

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More from @SubhadipNandy16

Oct 9, 2018
Keeping a watch out on Reliance Inds fut. Crossing of 1114 should propel a bullish move
Triggered, in . SL 1104
Read 4 tweets
Oct 9, 2018
V_Scalper rulez !!!😀
213 to 226, another good trade by the V_Scalper
224 to 230, another good trade. Day's target achieved. What a counter !!!
Read 4 tweets
Oct 8, 2018
Twi first on recco of my good friend @Amit_Gulecha , then 2 more.

What a trade !! Take a bow @Amit_Gulecha 🙏🙏
This is where the first short was, then shorted more on the way down. Due to high vol, starting with 1 lot and then punching volumes if the trade goes in my favour. Else would have been out with SL on a single contract . High VIX --> different strategies
now again shorted with a rupee SL
Read 9 tweets
Oct 8, 2018
For the first time after 5 days, bullish setups on major stocks and indices. 10310 should not break for this bullish momentum to continue
First clean trade on Nifty fut
10360 holds the key for upsides, 10310 for downsides. AS OF NOW. this scenario will change thruout the day
Read 7 tweets
Oct 7, 2018
Seeing quite a few msgs on twitter how one bought stocks at 2008 high , stocks went down 80% and then they sold at 5x of buying price . Funny no one bought DLF , Unitech, Suzlon, Rcom etc . Don't jump into buy on this survivorship bias based stories
The amount of mutual fund money which flowed into the bourses based upon the #MutualFundsSahiHai slogan lifted all stocks . Such a liquidity flow might not be repeated in the future if the MFs now take a big hit .
If you want to buy for long term as an investor , wait for the PE ratios to drop further . Sharing a study which I did long ago , but the principles still hold true
Read 4 tweets
Oct 5, 2018
1. IV > HV
2. High IVR
3. Sell strangles 2SD away

This is the crux of all complicated option selling strategies . Nothing so simple can work across all market conditions .
This model has a problem . It's assumed that IV will mean revert , as it has done since 2015 . But what if the volatility regime changes ? IV is not a bounded indicator which has an upper and a lower ceiling. What if IV continues to go up ?
Volatility has 3 characteristics . Persistency , cyclicity and mean reversion .
Read 17 tweets

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