Alexander Gabuev 陳寒士 Profile picture
Oct 5, 2018 6 tweets 3 min read Read on X
Disclosure of identities of 305 #GRU operatives, the largest intelligence blunder in modern Russian history is entirely of domestic making, and only all-penetrating corruption and state erosion are to blame. Here is how it works 👇1/
When crosschecking identities of #GRU operatives disclosed by the Dutch authorities, @bellingcat and @the_ins_ru went through the register of Russian traffic police. One of the cars was registered at Komsomolsky Prospekt 20, one of #GRU barracks that hosts cyber unit 26165 2/
There are 305 individuals who have their cars registered using the same address, and the database contains their full names, DOB, ID data, cell phone numbers etc. 3/
How is that possible? First, the Russian Traffic Authority is notoriously corrupt even by Russian standards, it's inexhaustible source of dark Russian humor. No surprise its database is very easy to buy in the black market since 1990s. 4/
But why would #GRU super spy register his private car using address of his secretive employer? Well, this gives you bonuses - you are put on a special list so the traffic police can't stop, the fines for drunk driving etc. never apply to you, and you don't need to pay car tax 5/
Root cause of largest intelligence failure in modern Russian history is a combination of wrecked values system in parts of the Russian society deeply rooted in Soviet past, notorious incompetence and, well, banal corruption. END or FINISH as we say in Russia

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More from @AlexGabuev

Aug 21, 2018
For the first time in history Chinese troops will participate in Vostok-2018, the largest miltary drills Moscow held since Zapad-81 that brought together troops from USSR and Warsaw Pact countries. This is a milestone for Sino-Russian military ties, and it's very important 1/
Since 2005 China has participated in numerous joint drills with Russia, mostly under SCO "Peace Mission" umbrella. It included 8 naval drills (in 2018 both navies trained in Baltic and East China seas) + 2 missile-defense computer simulations aimed at countering U.S. THAAD 2/
China participates in "Peace Mission" again this year, the drills will be held Aug 22-29 at Chebarkul range with 700 PLA personnel, 2 J-11 fighters, 4 JH-7 bomber-fighters, 6 transport jets + tanks and armored vehicles. But Vostok-2018 will bring it to a different level 3/
Read 13 tweets
Jul 27, 2018
Great read by @BethanyAllenEbr &co on @thedailybeast. Reason why Trump tries to be friends with Russia might be not only collusion/kompromat, but an idea of Henry the K that U.S. can work with Russia to box in China. Here is why it won't work 1/ thedailybeast.com/henry-kissinge…
According to @thedailybeast, Kissinger has pitched his "Nixon reversed strategy" to @realDonaldTrump couple of times, and the administration was debating this idea. According to earlier report by @Reuters, Team Trump has discussed this idea with Russia 2/ reuters.com/article/us-usa…
One should notice that in his opening remarks in Helsinki Trump has invited Putin to discuss China and "our mutual friend President Xi," a fact that has worried some ppl in China as @markhleonard noticed recently in the @FT 3/ ft.com/content/f83b20…
Read 13 tweets
Mar 31, 2018
Co-owner of Russia's Summa group detained. It’s a very important story about Putin 4.0 Let me explain 1/ reuters.com/article/us-rus…
2/ Info on reasons for Magomedov’s arrest is patchy. It happens amid conflict with Transneft over price of Summa stake in NMTP #coincidence
3/ Private Summa and Transneft, Russian oil pipeline monopoly, are about to end 7 years of troubled partnership in NMTP, Russia's largest port, where they jointly control 50,1% shares af.reuters.com/article/commod…
Read 10 tweets

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