Alexander Gabuev 陳寒士 Profile picture
Director of Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center in Berlin, part of @CarnegieEndow. Senior Advisor @ASG.
Oct 5, 2018 6 tweets 3 min read
Disclosure of identities of 305 #GRU operatives, the largest intelligence blunder in modern Russian history is entirely of domestic making, and only all-penetrating corruption and state erosion are to blame. Here is how it works 👇1/ When crosschecking identities of #GRU operatives disclosed by the Dutch authorities, @bellingcat and @the_ins_ru went through the register of Russian traffic police. One of the cars was registered at Komsomolsky Prospekt 20, one of #GRU barracks that hosts cyber unit 26165 2/
Aug 21, 2018 13 tweets 4 min read
For the first time in history Chinese troops will participate in Vostok-2018, the largest miltary drills Moscow held since Zapad-81 that brought together troops from USSR and Warsaw Pact countries. This is a milestone for Sino-Russian military ties, and it's very important 1/ Since 2005 China has participated in numerous joint drills with Russia, mostly under SCO "Peace Mission" umbrella. It included 8 naval drills (in 2018 both navies trained in Baltic and East China seas) + 2 missile-defense computer simulations aimed at countering U.S. THAAD 2/
Jul 27, 2018 13 tweets 6 min read
Great read by @BethanyAllenEbr &co on @thedailybeast. Reason why Trump tries to be friends with Russia might be not only collusion/kompromat, but an idea of Henry the K that U.S. can work with Russia to box in China. Here is why it won't work 1/… According to @thedailybeast, Kissinger has pitched his "Nixon reversed strategy" to @realDonaldTrump couple of times, and the administration was debating this idea. According to earlier report by @Reuters, Team Trump has discussed this idea with Russia 2/…
Mar 31, 2018 10 tweets 3 min read
Co-owner of Russia's Summa group detained. It’s a very important story about Putin 4.0 Let me explain 1/… 2/ Info on reasons for Magomedov’s arrest is patchy. It happens amid conflict with Transneft over price of Summa stake in NMTP #coincidence