Mona Profile picture
Oct 6, 2018 14 tweets 4 min read
Analysis | Here’s why the protests against Kavanaugh (and the Trump administration) won’t go away
#SaturdayMorning #VoteBlue #NoKavanaugh
wapo.st/2yiwnRO?tid=ss…
2/"Now that the highly contentious confirmation process for Supreme Court nominee Brett M. Kavanaugh is winding down, will the resolution dampen the fervor of recent activism? In the past two weeks, protesters have interrupted Senate Judiciary Committee hearings, blocked the
3/"streets around the Capitol, sung on the steps of the Supreme Court, occupied a Senate building, and much more — including calling for a national day of action today. In fact, survivors who confronted Sen. Jeff Flake (R-Ariz.) in a Senate elevator live on CNN may have pushed
4/"him to call for an FBI investigation into sexual assault allegations against the nominee before a confirmation vote. Given the protesters’ role in slowing the confirmation process, the outcome is likely to provoke more activism, not less.
5/"Why have the protests against President Trump’s administration persisted with so much strength for so long? My ongoing research project offers some insight. With a multi-person research team, I have surveyed attendees at all the large-scale protest events in Washington since
6/"Trump’s inauguration. So far, the complete data set includes surveys collected from 1,946 protest participants. Although each protest event has been different — with a different main focus and a different coalition of organizations coordinating the event — the research method
7/"is the same. My research team and I snake through these crowds sampling every fifth person at designated increments within the staging area to gather a field approximation of a random sample. More women than men have attended all these protests, and protesters have come from a
8/"highly educated portion of the U.S. population. My colleague Lorien Jasny and I analyzed these data to understand who shows up repeatedly in these large-scale protests, and what they have in common. We find that two quite different variables — being motivated by a desire to
9/"protect reproductive rights and having contacted an elected official in the past year — are both strongly associated with participants turning out over and over again. The early portion of the Kavanaugh hearings focused on the judge’s position on the 1973 Roe v. Wade decision
10/"striking down laws against abortion. That’s the issue that has mobilized the most engaged Trump protesters who have been turning out repeatedly since his inauguration to march in the streets and to do much more. Given the likely overlap between this issue and the women
11/" motivated to speak out about sexual assault and harassment by the #MeToo movement, if Kavanaugh is confirmed, we can expect even more activism. Since these models are not perfect predictors of persistence, our findings should be interpreted cautiously.
12/"But they do suggest what to expect in the coming days and weeks before the midterm elections. Protesters had some success in attracting national media attention and, many believe, prompting the call for the final FBI investigation. Therefore, we shouldn’t expect such highly
13/"motivated activists to back off any time soon. These persistent protesters are very likely to contact their elected officials, whether inside or outside of elevators.
14/"And we can expect they will be doing a lot more than just sitting in and marching around the Capitol before the midterm elections that will be held in 31 days." ~Dana R. Fisher, WaPo, 10/6/18

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More from @Monaheart1229

Oct 8, 2018
Just in case the GOP Sens like Ted Cruz and McConnell are telling the truth @ the GOP being 'fired up', donate to @JackyRosenNev who's win will help us get the Senate back. Donate here:secure.actblue.com/donate/jr-ads?…
2/"The Washington Post calls the Nevada Senate race Democrats’ “best pickup opportunity” in 2018, and POLITICO says we have “almost no shot” at taking back the Senate without it. But with a recent poll showing this race is a dead heat, the GOP is going ALL IN to protect this seat
3/"Mitch McConnell-linked groups are dumping MILLIONS into Nevada, and Donald Trump is actively campaigning for our extremist GOP opponent. That’s why a generous group of donors has offered to DOUBLE every dollar to flip this seat blue and take back the Senate for Democrats.
Read 4 tweets
Oct 8, 2018
THIS is what's been happening while we've all been so (rightfully) spun @ the Kavanaugh debacle. This is very, VERY serious stuff. #China #MondayMotivation
wapo.st/2C17OMx?tid=ss…
2/"BEIJING — Secretary of State Mike Pompeo got an earful from senior Chinese officials during a five-hour visit to Beijing on Monday, effectively becoming the whipping boy in the increasingly acrimonious relationship between the two governments. Pompeo is the most senior
3/"official to meet with his Chinese counterparts since President Trump accused Beijing of interfering in November’s midterm elections, and Vice President Pence gave a vitriolic speech charging Beijing with seeking to undermine U.S. interests across the globe. He felt the full
Read 30 tweets
Oct 8, 2018
This is weird beyond words..I wonder if Trump'll dish her, boy do I ever hope so-it'd help the #BlueWave quite a bit! #MondayMotivation #VoteBlue
washingtonpost.com/technology/201…
2/"Taylor Swift’s declaration that she plans to vote for Democrats next month fell like a hammer across the Trump-worshiping subforums of the far-right Internet, where people had convinced themselves, for reasons it will take some time to explain, that the world-famous pop star
3/"was a secret #MAGA fan. The news caught 4chan and Reddit trolls mid-post. On the pro-Trump r/The_Donald board, someone had just written out a sexual fantasy in which Swift and Kanye West hooked up because “Trump being the best president is actually something they both agree on
Read 24 tweets
Oct 8, 2018
1/ " In a DEMOCRATIC society, majority rule must be coupled with guarantees of individual human rights that, in turn, serve to protect the rights of minorities--whether ethnic, religious, or political, or simply the losers in the debate over a piece of controversial legislation.
2/ "The rights of minorities do not depend upon the goodwill of the majority and cannot be eliminated by majority vote. The rights of minorities are protected because democratic laws and institutions protect the rights of all citizens."
3/ ""When a representative democracy operates in accordance with a constitution that limits the powers of the government and guarantees fundamental rights to all citizens, this form of government is a constitutional democracy. In such a society, the majority rules, and the rights
Read 9 tweets
Oct 7, 2018
‘I Voted’ Stickers for 2018 nyti.ms/2IFDBE0
2/"The midterm elections are a month away! On Nov. 6, citizens across America will head to the polls, hoping to change their country for the better and/or to politically humiliate someone they didn’t realize was alive until a year and a half ago. With the stakes of this election
3/"so high, the famously vague “I Voted” sticker isn’t going to cut it. For 2018, we need stickers that reflect the diversity of America’s rage-fueled motivations for fulfilling their civic duty." Rebecca Caplan, NYT, 10/7/18
Read 8 tweets
Oct 7, 2018
Wall Street Is Booming Under Trump. But Many of Its Donors Are Embracing Democrats. nyti.ms/2CvpaCy
2/"When Charles Myers, the chairman of a financial advisory firm, hosted four relatively unknown Democratic congressional candidates at his Midtown Manhattan home last month, he netted more money than he can remember collecting from an event that wasn’t headlined by a
3/"presidential candidate. “More than ever in my 26-year career on Wall Street, donors are willing to look way beyond concerns of overregulation from Democrats,” said Mr. Myers, a longtime Democratic fund-raiser. They just want to elect “Democrats to serve as a check” on
Read 31 tweets

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