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Subhadip Nandy Profile picture
@SubhadipNandy16
Oct 7, 2018 • 4 tweets • 1 min read • Read on X
Seeing quite a few msgs on twitter how one bought stocks at 2008 high , stocks went down 80% and then they sold at 5x of buying price . Funny no one bought DLF , Unitech, Suzlon, Rcom etc . Don't jump into buy on this survivorship bias based stories
The amount of mutual fund money which flowed into the bourses based upon the #MutualFundsSahiHai slogan lifted all stocks . Such a liquidity flow might not be repeated in the future if the MFs now take a big hit .
If you want to buy for long term as an investor , wait for the PE ratios to drop further . Sharing a study which I did long ago , but the principles still hold true
Read this , make your decision. Being a long-term investor does not mean that you will have to go thru 80% drawdowns
facebook.com/notes/subhadip…

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More from @SubhadipNandy16

Subhadip Nandy Profile picture
Oct 9, 2018
Keeping a watch out on Reliance Inds fut. Crossing of 1114 should propel a bullish move
Triggered, in . SL 1104
Read 4 tweets
Subhadip Nandy Profile picture
Oct 9, 2018
V_Scalper rulez !!!😀
213 to 226, another good trade by the V_Scalper
224 to 230, another good trade. Day's target achieved. What a counter !!!
Read 4 tweets
Subhadip Nandy Profile picture
Oct 8, 2018
Twi first on recco of my good friend @Amit_Gulecha , then 2 more.

What a trade !! Take a bow @Amit_Gulecha 🙏🙏
This is where the first short was, then shorted more on the way down. Due to high vol, starting with 1 lot and then punching volumes if the trade goes in my favour. Else would have been out with SL on a single contract . High VIX --> different strategies
now again shorted with a rupee SL
Read 9 tweets
Subhadip Nandy Profile picture
Oct 8, 2018
For the first time after 5 days, bullish setups on major stocks and indices. 10310 should not break for this bullish momentum to continue
First clean trade on Nifty fut
10360 holds the key for upsides, 10310 for downsides. AS OF NOW. this scenario will change thruout the day
Read 7 tweets
Subhadip Nandy Profile picture
Oct 5, 2018
1. IV > HV
2. High IVR
3. Sell strangles 2SD away

This is the crux of all complicated option selling strategies . Nothing so simple can work across all market conditions .
This model has a problem . It's assumed that IV will mean revert , as it has done since 2015 . But what if the volatility regime changes ? IV is not a bounded indicator which has an upper and a lower ceiling. What if IV continues to go up ?
Volatility has 3 characteristics . Persistency , cyclicity and mean reversion .
Read 17 tweets
Subhadip Nandy Profile picture
Oct 5, 2018
Re-instated the ICICIBANK put spread 300-190 at 1.95 in the volatility, good rates 😀
Someone jumped and took both my orders at one go , hitting the bid at one strike and the ask at another strike, good for me 😀😀
Spread at 3 😀
Read 6 tweets

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