💧simon holmes à court Profile picture
Oct 7, 2017 14 tweets 2 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
#judithsloan's opinion piece in today's oz is disingenuous, full of errors & can be safely ignored. here's why: 1/
theaustralian.com.au/news/inquirer/…
sloan likens RE sector to ponzi schemes, enron, subprime etc.
unlike her examples, 🇦🇺's RE sector operates within laws & ethics. 2/
sloan says "long-suffering" taxpayers shouldn't hold their breath waiting for a return from the @CEFCAus 3/
the CEFC has been excellently managed & has returned a profit to government ever since its first full year of operation, FY2014. 4/
renewable "reverse auctions", far from being dubious, have enabled australia to build some of the cheapest renewables in the world. 5/
as for subsidies, alcoa portland has received more support than the entire australian wind industry, ever. 6/
sloan compares subsidies for car industry (acceptable?) with RE (bad?), not explaining why assistance to RE has been less beneficial. 7/
claiming germany’s energiewende is a failure because by 2020 it’ll have only reduced emissions by 32% (against 40% target) is asinine. 8/
intermittency only “plagues” renewables in the minds of those who don’t understand energy system, but feel need to opine on it. 9/
sloan claims latest offshore wind farm agreement were for more than £100/MWh. this is BS — last offshore PPA struck at £57.50. 10/
perhaps sloan is confused with the hinkley C nuclear plant, built with ~£100/MWh PPA? (hinkley to be operational in 10 years earliest.) 11/
her estimate of more than $2bn a year for renewable energy certificates is overstated, but also disingenuous… 12/
sloan completely glosses over the fact (perhaps she doesn't know?) that subsidies for large-scale 🇦🇺n RE is rapidly approaching $0. 13/
one need look no further than stockyard hill & coopers gap to see 1 GW of wind energy with effectively $0 subsidy. solar close. 14/14

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More from @simonahac

Sep 29, 2018
🤓 thread: no journalist has asked #ScoMo about the discrepancy between his claim australia will "meet paris at a canter" & the environment department's clear analysis that, with current policy settings, we'll miss it by a country mile.

the dept's chart:
environment.gov.au/climate-change…
the environment department's report is crystal clear: as of last december we were set to miss our target by between 868-934 MtCO₂e.

(for comparison, our annual emissions are now 560 MtCO₂e.)
…and just yesterday (grand final eve, public holiday in vic, etc.) the department released new numbers showing that we're getting worse.

in @GrogsGamut's excellent chart below, our "paris" target (~435Mt) is as far below the x-axis as our current emissions are above it!
Read 7 tweets
Jun 10, 2018
a short, true story about @alan_john_moran (18 years at @TheIPA) who was offered $100k to prove the accuracy of his work for @MRobertsQLD — but, after much bluster, shied from the challenge. 1/17
in july, @alan_john_moran wrote a report for ex-senator @MRobertsQLD in response to the #finkel report.
39 pages of “scholarship” such as this: 2/17
moran’s report, largely a rehash of his blog, was riddled with errors.
the report was so bad that i prepared this brief critique:
3/17
Read 21 tweets
May 29, 2018
i didn’t assume anything about you.

you claimed that you were a critical thinker and understood the science.

i started with the hypothesis that this was true.

you falsified it.
apparently i wasn’t listening? 🤷🏻‍♂️

you agreed, reluctantly, with CO₂ increase.
you blamed increase on cow turds then claimed it was just something you heard…

what then has caused CO₂ to increase 50% over last 250yrs?

(hint: mainly fossil fuels)
oh, since you don’t thread your replies — you should learn how — i thought you were just sending me a ‘???’.

no, no one has ever asked that. happy to get to that, but you’re jumping ahead.

you’re stuck on first base. can you get off it first?

Read 5 tweets
May 17, 2018
🤓 one thing i've learnt about energy is that you've _got_ to go to the data.

"common knowledge", aka "anecdata", is so very often wrong.

an example: i was recently told that @originenergy's #mortlake gas power station was generating "all the time", as "base load".

it's not!
the chart above shows the last 12 months of output. (HT @dylanjmcconnell)

#mortlake has been running with a capacity factor of 28.9% and it's been 2 months since it even hit 50% power.
most wind farms and some solar farms have a higher capacity factor than #mortlake!

$ORG would need to work it about 3 times harder before you'd call it a 'base load' generator.
Read 5 tweets
May 1, 2018
you’ve got to understand the context of the decision. SA had a relatively small load shed event on 8/2/17. coming on the back of the blackout on 28/9/16 the media and politicians — esp federal — when beserk.

weatherill had to take decisive action.
the 28/9 event was exascerbafed by the complete failure of the state’s ‘system restart ancillary services’ (SRAS) providers.
the 8/2 event was caused by a lack of reserve when AEMO screwed up their forecasts and gas units failed.
on top of this, and important grid service, called FCAS (frequency control and contingency reserve) was experiencing massive price gouging that was costing tens of millions.

…and then along game elon’s offer. (it went to tender — he won.)
Read 8 tweets
Apr 4, 2018
when @CraigKellyMP says they's almost 600 'HELE' coal power stations under construction totalling around 650,000MW, is he right?

nope. and nope. he's just making it up. #auspol
when @CraigKellyMP says japan is building 40 'HELE' power stations, is he right?

nope. just 5 — so few we can list in 1 tweet: Takehara, Noshiro, Hitachinaka Kyodo, Sumitomo Metals Kashima, Matsuura Kyushu.

they total just 3.5GW, & they haven't finished any in the past 7 years.
when @CraigKellyMP says there're many 💯s of ‘HELE’ stations operating throughout SE asia, is he right?

nope. there’re only 10:

indonesia: Adipala, Banten Serang, Cilacap Sumber, Cirebon, Paiton-3
malaysia: Manjung, Tanjung Bin
thailand: Gheco One
vietnam: Duyen Hai-3, Vinh Tan
Read 7 tweets

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