Prerequisites for this:
- someone ousts May in a Tory leadership election in Sept/Oct
- Govt majority lost, meaning a new GE in Oct/Nov 2018
(both of these are of course open to question - but bear with me!)
2/8
How do the Tories and Labour approach #Brexit in such a General Election campaign?
One presumes that the Tories (with 75% of their membership pro-Brexit) aim for a hard Brexit, something akin to the Chequers deal (or harder). They'd NOT want a #peoplesvote
3/8
This thread examines some of the aspects of extending Article 50 (or not)
1/12
First some background - I have an older blog post here about why extending the Article 50 period would be a good idea: jonworth.eu/transition-per…
And the relevant part of Article 50 is shown here - unanimous agreement of EU-27 needed to extend
2/12
Extending the Article 50 period is not something either side really wants.
BUT No Deal #Brexit is the thing both sides should absolutely fear, especially 🇬🇧 but even the 🇪🇺, whose Member States (especially 🇮🇪) would take a major GDP hit.
But let's just say for a minute that, spurred on by national sandwich sentiment post a No Deal Brexit, the UK did want to make itself more self-sustaining in its food production, what could it do?
2/15
First some stats: Defra has useful stats on UK food import dependency here: gov.uk/government/sta…
The first Excel table shows how import dependency for food has been growing (the UK now imports 40% of its food), and the second Excel download lists value by food type.
Most charming & amusing Russian 🇷🇺 experience to date here in Ulan-Ude...
When planning this trip people asked me: do you speak Russian? Answer: no. But I am armed with Yandex Translate. It has a RU-EN offline dictionary, and can speak it all too: itunes.apple.com/us/app/yandex-…
1/7
You can do pretty complex things with Yandex.
But trying to book a bus 🚌 ticket 🎟 online from Irkutsk to Bratsk was a step too far.
Irkutsk = Иркутск
Bratsk = Братск
is easy enough.
Entering names, gender etc., sure.
But nationality?
2/7
What is my nationality?
England = Англия
Great Britain = Великобритания
UK? = Объединенное королевство великой Британии и северной Ирландии
None in the list...
Enter a confused but helpful hotel receptionist.
3/7
Something about this #Seehofer "resignation" does not add up.
A thread.
1/9
Merkel went to Brussels and got a framework for a deal on refugees, the sort of thing that Seehofer was pushing for. A bit thin on the details, but Merkel did not return empty handed.
2/9
The normal CSU reaction to this would have been to have claimed a minor victory, to show how Bavaria's interests were being taken seriously, and move on somewhat.
3/9