Nina Schick Profile picture
Nov 20, 2017 7 tweets 2 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
#JamaikaAbbruch is not good news for #Brexit - while new govt is formed/new elections are held, technocrats will govern in Berlin.
1. Any schadenfreude against Merkel (& have seen some) is misplaced as it means Brexit slips further down list of priorities.
2. Very similar to how Merkel was disengaged w/Cameron’s renegotiation due to the migrant crisis in 2015. Except stakes higher this time.
3. Worth remembering that all parties that could be in Govt have remarkably uniform positions on Brexit.
4. (So much so that it wasn’t even worth a mention (!) in the leaked preliminary coalition document for #Jamaika.)
5. So again, this just means less focus on Britain, more at home. This is a bad outcome for Brexit at a crucial point in talks.
6. No special deals from the FDP or Merkel. Just the single market rules to choose from to determine access, & the ‘bill’ to pay.

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More from @NinaDSchick

Jul 12, 2018
Classic UK reading Germany wrong again. Merkel did not endorse the plan. She and other EU leaders were begged not to immediately shoot it down as 🍒 picking. thesun.co.uk/news/6756073/t…
So it is the basis to keep the negotiations moving - and as far as the EU is concerned - the UK will have to make more concessions.

As I keep saying: ECJ/EFTA, £, FoM
This classic misreading of Germany happens over and over again. Cameron over Juncker, Cameron on free movement during the EU renegotiation, all Brexiteers on German car manufacturers....
Read 5 tweets
Jun 29, 2018
We didn’t have time to discuss it in depth on #Newsnight - but I wanted to add - @realDonaldTrump is tearing up the Transatlantic Alliance in a big way: next item on his take-down list, NATO. Watch at the upcoming NATO Summit .
Germany, with Angela Merkel - the antithesis to Trump - as its chancellor will be number one on the take down list. Trump smells blood around Merkel and is happy to play a role in trying to take her down. (See his interventions on crime stats in Germany & migrants.)
Of course - all of this bodes very badly for the rest of Europe and the West - Britain included - as @realDonaldTrump will not only be waging trade wars with his closest allies, but taking a sledgehammer to our collective defense.
Read 8 tweets
Mar 13, 2018
Another reason why Brexit was/is such a bad idea. The UK burns bridges with its EU allies in an increasingly unstable world, at at time when the 'special relationship' couldn't be more perilous. Even more difficult for May to push for unified Western response. #Russia #Skripal
1. Magnified by Trump's statement that US will "condemn" any Russian involvement. Condemn" implicitly sounds like it will stay in the realm of diplomacy.
2. So what can TM do? - Some unilateral UK actions, like freezing assets of Putin cronies, tackling money laundering through City (will come with a financial cost.)
Read 12 tweets
Feb 16, 2018
Catch me on @skynews at 12.30 GMT - where I will be discussing Theresa May’s meeting with Angela Merkel in Berlin. #Brexit
1. In case it wasn’t already clear - Germany’s position on Brexit will not change. The U.K. has a history of over-relying in Germany in EU negotiations. (Cameron made this mistake too.)
2. This displays a misunderstanding of the vital political, strategic and economic importance of the EU to Germany.
Read 14 tweets
Dec 5, 2017
'European Press Reaction,' to #Brexit thread time. It's been a while, always good get some perspective. (Will add more during the day). /1
Comment in @DLF, leads: "Britain's departure from the World Stage." - "Brexit is political idiocy. By today, every observer should have realised by now that the United Kingdom will not only leave the EU but, above all, leave the world stage."2/
.@DLF: "Brexit is the biggest political idiocy since the Roman Emperor Caligula decided to appoint his favorite horse Incitatus as consul. Anyone who needed further proof of this thesis has received it today." 3/
Read 18 tweets
Nov 9, 2017
1. New round of #Brexit talks in Brussels today & #Prexit behind us, let's take stock of what EU papers are saying in Ep 100 of 'Nothing Has Changed.' (Thread.)
2. France's @LesEchos says TM is "increasingly fragile." Notes, "Clearly, chances that outstanding Brexit issues are resolved" in this round of talks "are close to nill." lesechos.fr/monde/europe/0…
3. @LesEchos: "The increasingly fragility of TM is a subject that's preoccupying the minds of EU leaders, who prefer to negotiate with a strong leader."
Read 21 tweets

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